Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Tips 9/2/2019
Monday, September 2, 2019
Great American Ball Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Drew Smyly vs. Anthony DeSclafani
Rhys Hoskins and the Philadelphia Phillies (69-65, 3rd in NL East) go to Great American Ball Park on Monday where they'll meet the Cincinnati Reds (63-72, 4th in NL Central). The Reds open this game at -135 while the Phillies are coming in at +125. The total is set at 10.
The Phillies have been a pretty good choice for bettors, having gone 69-65-0 SU. Cincinnati covers 46.7% of the time, going 63-72-0 straight up.
Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies have been a pretty good Over choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 63-68-3.
The Phillies are covering 46.0% of the time as the visitor, having gone 29-34-0 straight up.
Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
Cincinnati covers 54.5% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 36-30-0 SU.
The Reds have been a good Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 53-77-5.
Related: Jay Kornegay - Westgate Superbook Football Super Contest - Over 28 Million in Winnings Paid
Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries
8/31/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Out for the season
8/31/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Out for the season
8/27/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/24/2019 Juan Nicasio RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/24/2019 Jay Bruce LF Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/21/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/21/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
8/15/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries
9/1/2019 Juan Graterol C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/28/2019 Jesse Winker LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Phillies have a 69-65 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Drew Smyly has a 2-6 record with an earned run average of 6.95 and a WHIP of 1.68 this season. He has 90 strikeouts over his 89.1 innings pitched and he's given up 104 hits. He's allowed 10.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.89. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.69 and they have given up 486 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the bullpen and they've struck out 464 hitters and walked 188 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 1,228 base hits and 621 earned runs. They have allowed 217 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 442 batters and struck out 1,124. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.95.
Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games
Hitting Statistics
As a team Philadelphia is hitting .248, good for 19th in the league. The Phillies hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .238 with an on-base percentage of .382. He has 112 hits this season in 470 at bats with 75 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .477 and an OPS+ of 119. Bryce Harper is hitting .257 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 124 hits and he has driven in 97 men in 483 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .503. The Phillies have 1,145 hits, including 259 doubles and 169 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 487 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,185 times as a unit. They have left 957 men on base and have a team OPS of .750. They score 4.87 runs per contest and have scored a total of 652 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Cincinnati has a 63-72 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.05, Anthony DeSclafani has a 9-7 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 139 strikeouts over the 135.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 133 hits. He's allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.54. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.51 and they have given up 415 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 499 batters and walked 196 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,092 base knocks and 562 earned runs this season. They have given up 180 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 450 hitters and struck out 1,297 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.25.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .248, good for 20th in the league. The Reds hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .261 with an OBP of .350. He has 116 hits this year along with 40 RBI in 445 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .409 with an OPS+ of 95. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .260 this season and he has an OBP of .340. He has collected 128 hits in 492 at bats while driving in 85 runs. He has an OPS+ of 122 and a slugging percentage of .543. The Reds as a unit have 1,130 base hits, including 196 doubles and 193 homers. Cincinnati has walked 389 times this year and they have struck out on 1,179 occasions. They have had 874 men left on base and have an OPS of .746. They have scored 4.52 runs per game and totaled 610 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Phillies/Reds MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies (+125)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks