Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Tips 9/5/2019
Thursday, September 5, 2019
Great American Ball Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jason Vargas vs. Sonny Gray
Joey Votto and the Cincinnati Reds (64-75, 4th in NL Central) play the Philadelphia Phillies (72-65, 3rd in NL East) at Great American Ball Park on Thursday, September 5, 2019. The Phillies open this contest at +144 while the Reds are coming in at -165. The total has been set at 9.
The Phillies have been a decent choice for bettors, having gone 72-65-0 SU. Cincinnati covers 46.0% of the time, going 64-75-0 straight up.
Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies have been a hot and cold Under pick for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 63-71-3.
The Phillies are covering 47.7% of the time as the visitor, having gone 31-34-0 straight up.
Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Reds are covering 52.9% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 36-32-0 SU.
The Reds have been a solid Under pick for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 54-80-5.
Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries
9/3/2019 Jean Segura SS Personal Probable for Sep 4
9/3/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/2/2019 Juan Nicasio RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
9/2/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
9/1/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/31/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Out for the season
8/31/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Out for the season
8/21/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries
9/2/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/2/2019 Eugenio Suarez 3B Hand Probable for Sep 4
9/1/2019 Juan Graterol C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/28/2019 Jesse Winker LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Phillies have a 72-65 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jason Vargas has a 6-7 record with an earned run average of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.33 this season. He has 98 strikeouts over his 127.1 innings pitched and he's given up 117 hits. He's allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.73. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.61 and they have given up 492 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the bullpen and they've struck out 476 hitters and walked 191 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 1,245 base hits and 626 earned runs. They have allowed 219 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 451 batters and struck out 1,152. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.91.
As a team Philadelphia is hitting .249, good for 18th in the league. The Phillies hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .240 with an on-base percentage of .382. He has 115 hits this season in 480 at bats with 79 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .485 and an OPS+ of 121. Bryce Harper is hitting .256 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .370. He has totaled 127 hits and he has driven in 100 men in 496 at bats. His OPS+ is 121 while his slugging percentage is at .502. The Phillies have 1,170 hits, including 268 doubles and 175 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 498 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,212 times as a unit. They have left 974 men on base and have a team OPS of .752. They score 4.89 runs per contest and have scored a total of 670 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Cincinnati has a 64-75 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.80, Sonny Gray has a 10-6 record and a 1.12 WHIP. He has 174 strikeouts over the 151.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 109 hits. He's allowing 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.47. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.56 and they have given up 430 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 516 batters and walked 203 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.25. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,120 base knocks and 580 earned runs this season. They have given up 186 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 462 hitters and struck out 1,337 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.25.
As a team, they are batting .247, good for 20th in the league. The Reds hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .258 with an OBP of .348. He has 118 hits this year along with 41 RBI in 458 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .404 with an OPS+ of 93. Jose Iglesias is hitting .293 this season and he has an OBP of .321. He has collected 130 hits in 443 at bats while driving in 50 runs. He has an OPS+ of 86 and a slugging percentage of .409. The Reds as a unit have 1,155 base hits, including 201 doubles and 197 homers. Cincinnati has walked 399 times this year and they have struck out on 1,220 occasions. They have had 899 men left on base and have an OPS of .742. They have scored 4.47 runs per game and totaled 621 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Phillies/Reds MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies (+144)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks