Philadelphia Phillies at Cleveland Indians MLB Betting Tips 9/21/2019
Saturday, September 21, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jason Vargas vs. Zach Plesac
Francisco Lindor and the Cleveland Indians (90-63, 2nd in AL Central) play the Philadelphia Phillies (78-73, 4th in NL East) at Progressive Field on Saturday, September 21, 2019. The moneyline on this matchup has the Phillies coming in at +165 and the Indians are at -175. The O/U opens at 10.
The Phillies have been less than ideal for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 78-73-0 SU. The Indians cover 58.8% of the time, going 90-63-0 straight up.
Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies have been a dicey Under bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 69-78-4.
Philadelphia is covering 47.9% of the time as a visitor, having gone 35-38-0 straight up.
Important Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Indians cover 60.3% of the time at Progressive Field, going 47-31-0 SU.
The Indians have been an inconsistent Over bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 64-84-5.
Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries
9/19/2019 Jean Segura SS Hamstring Probable for Sep 20
9/19/2019 Jay Bruce LF Arm Probable for Sep 20
9/18/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/18/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Out for the season
9/18/2019 Juan Nicasio RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/17/2019 Corey Dickerson LF Foot Out for the season
9/10/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/1/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Out for the season
9/1/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Finger Out for the season
8/31/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
Key Cleveland Indians Injuries
9/20/2019 Brad Hand RP Arm Probable for Sep 20
9/19/2019 Jose Ramirez 3B Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/18/2019 Jason Kipnis 2B Hand Out for the season
9/13/2019 Tyler Naquin RF Knee Out for the season
9/11/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/7/2019 Corey Kluber SP Oblique Out for the season
9/6/2019 Danny Salazar SP Groin Out for the season
9/1/2019 Tyler Olson RP Infection Out for the season
9/1/2019 A.J RP Shoulder Out for the season
7/12/2019 Cody Anderson RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Phillies have a 78-73 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jason Vargas has a 6-8 record with an earned run average of 4.48 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 113 strikeouts over his 138.2 innings pitched and he's given up 130 hits. He's allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.47 and they have given up 535 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the bullpen and they've struck out 529 hitters and walked 219 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.51. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 1,359 base hits and 680 earned runs. They have allowed 241 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 509 batters and struck out 1,286. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.90.
As a team Philadelphia is hitting .247, good for 20th in the league. The Phillies hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .236 with an on-base percentage of .375. He has 126 hits this season in 533 at bats with 83 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .480 and an OPS+ of 119. Bryce Harper is hitting .255 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 136 hits and he has driven in 104 men in 533 at bats. His OPS+ is 122 while his slugging percentage is at .497. The Phillies have 1,282 hits, including 289 doubles and 200 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 534 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,351 times as a unit. They have left 1,060 men on base and have a team OPS of .750. They score 4.85 runs per contest and have scored a total of 732 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Cleveland has a 90-63 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.64, Zach Plesac has a 8-6 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 79 strikeouts over the 106.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 91 hits. He's allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.06. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.62 and they have given up 438 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the Indians bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 494 batters and walked 164 opposing hitters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.64. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,219 base knocks and 551 earned runs this season. They have given up 194 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Cleveland as a staff has walked 425 hitters and struck out 1,429 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 4.04.
As a team, they are batting .252, good for 14th in the league. The Indians hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Francisco Lindor comes into this matchup batting .292 with an OBP of .343. He has 165 hits this year along with 70 RBI in 565 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .533 with an OPS+ of 123. Carlos Santana is hitting .282 this season and he has an OBP of .398. He has collected 154 hits in 546 at bats while driving in 91 runs. He has an OPS+ of 138 and a slugging percentage of .526. The Indians as a unit have 1,293 base hits, including 273 doubles and 210 homers. Cleveland has walked 534 times this year and they have struck out on 1,247 occasions. They have had 1,027 men left on base and have an OPS of .761. They have scored 4.74 runs per game and totaled 725 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Phillies/Indians MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies (+165)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks