Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Baseball Betting Tips 7/6/2019

Saturday, July 6, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jake Arrieta vs. Noah Syndergaard

Cesar Hernandez and the Philadelphia Phillies (45-42, 3rd in NL East) are headed to Citi Field on Saturday where they'll take on the New York Mets (39-48, 4th in NL East). The Mets open this contest at -147 while the Phillies are priced at +137. The total is set at 8.5.

The Phillies have been a good choice for baseball wagerers, having gone 45-42-0 SU. New York is covering 44.8% of the time, going 39-48-0 straight up. The Mets have been less than ideal for Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 23-20-0 SU. Philadelphia has went 9-17-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 34.6% of the time.

Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have been a good Under option for O/U wagerers, having gone 40-44-3.

Philadelphia is covering 41.9% of the time on the road, having gone 18-25-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets are covering 56.4% of the time at Citi Field, going 22-17-0 SU.

The Mets have been a terrible Under option for O/U wagerers, having gone 44-33-10.

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

7/4/2019 Juan Nicasio RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Jul 14
6/30/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
6/22/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/22/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
6/14/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/4/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1

Key New York Mets Injuries

7/3/2019 J.D 3B Illness Probable for Jul 5
7/3/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/18/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 45-42 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jake Arrieta has a 8-6 record with an earned run average of 4.43 and a WHIP of 1.42 this season. He has 81 strikeouts over his 103.2 innings pitched and he's given up 107 hits. He's allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.90 and they have given up 305 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the bullpen and they've struck out 295 hitters and walked 121 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.69. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 796 base hits and 403 earned runs. They have allowed 150 home runs this season, ranking them 2nd in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 291 batters and struck out 733. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 5.09.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .244, good for 20th in the league. The Phillies hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .280 with an on-base percentage of .333. He has 90 hits this season in 322 at bats with 39 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .419 and an OPS+ of 95. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .262 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .395. He has totaled 80 hits and he has driven in 56 men in 305 at bats. His OPS+ is 136 while his slugging percentage is at .521. The Phillies have 720 hits, including 164 doubles and 109 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 324 times so far this season and they have struck out 745 times as a unit. They have left 603 men on base and have a team OPS of .744. They score 4.85 runs per contest and have scored a total of 422 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 39-48 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.56, Noah Syndergaard has a 5-4 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 98 strikeouts over the 100.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 98 hits. He's allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.74. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.58 and they have given up 300 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 297 batters and walked 136 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.8. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 777 base knocks and 413 earned runs this season. They have given up 118 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 289 hitters and struck out 798 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.38.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 12th in the league. The Mets hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Jeff McNeil comes into this matchup batting .349 with an OBP of .411. He has 96 hits this year along with 35 RBI in 275 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .516 with an OPS+ of 151. Pete Alonso is hitting .278 this season and he has an OBP of .372. He has collected 87 hits in 313 at bats while driving in 64 runs. He has an OPS+ of 163 and a slugging percentage of .623. The Mets as a unit have 767 base hits, including 147 doubles and 123 homers. New York has walked 281 times this year and they have struck out on 775 occasions. They have had 609 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They have scored 4.7 runs per game and totaled 409 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mets -147

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