Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Baseball Betting Tips 7/7/2019

Sunday, July 7, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Zack Wheeler

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (39-49, 4th in NL East) play the Philadelphia Phillies (46-42, 2nd in NL East) at Citi Field on Sunday, July 7, 2019. The Mets open this game at -115 while the Phillies are priced at +105. The total has been set at 9.

The Phillies have been a solid bet for MLB wagerers, having gone 46-42-0 SU. The Mets are covering 44.3% of the time, going 39-49-0 straight up. The Mets have been a solid bet for MLB wagerers as favorites, going 23-21-0 SU. Philadelphia has went 10-17-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 37.0% of the time.

Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have been a good Under choice for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 41-44-3.

The Phillies are covering 43.2% of the time as a visitor, having gone 19-25-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets are covering 55.0% of the time at Citi Field, going 22-18-0 SU.

The Mets have been a great Over choice for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 45-33-10.

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

7/4/2019 Juan Nicasio RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Jul 14
6/30/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
6/22/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
6/22/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/14/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/4/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1

Key New York Mets Injuries

7/5/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/3/2019 J.D 3B Illness Probable for Jul 5
6/18/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 46-42 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Aaron Nola has a 7-2 record with an earned run average of 3.89 and a WHIP of 1.33 this season. He has 118 strikeouts over his 104 innings pitched and he's given up 97 hits. He's allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.04. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.83 and they have given up 306 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the bullpen and they've struck out 299 hitters and walked 122 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.66. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 803 base hits and 405 earned runs. They have allowed 151 home runs this season, ranking them 2nd in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 292 batters and struck out 740. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 5.07.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .244, good for 20th in the league. The Phillies hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .260 with an on-base percentage of .395. He has 80 hits this season in 308 at bats with 56 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .516 and an OPS+ of 135. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .280 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .335. He has totaled 91 hits and he has driven in 40 men in 325 at bats. His OPS+ is 95 while his slugging percentage is at .418. The Phillies have 728 hits, including 168 doubles and 110 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 329 times so far this season and they have struck out 758 times as a unit. They have left 610 men on base and have a team OPS of .744. They score 4.88 runs per contest and have scored a total of 429 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 39-49 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.42, Zack Wheeler has a 6-5 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 123 strikeouts over the 114 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 110 hits. He's allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.63. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.70 and they have given up 306 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 300 batters and walked 138 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.82. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 786 base knocks and 420 earned runs this season. They have given up 119 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 294 hitters and struck out 811 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.36.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .254, good for 13th in the league. The Mets hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .281 with an OBP of .373. He has 89 hits this year along with 66 RBI in 317 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .634 with an OPS+ of 167. Jeff McNeil is hitting .348 this season and he has an OBP of .409. He has collected 97 hits in 279 at bats while driving in 35 runs. He has an OPS+ of 149 and a slugging percentage of .513. The Mets as a unit have 774 base hits, including 148 doubles and 124 homers. New York has walked 282 times this year and they have struck out on 782 occasions. They have had 615 men left on base and have an OPS of .757. They have scored 4.67 runs per game and totaled 411 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mets -115

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