Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets MLB Betting Tips 7/5/2019
Friday, July 5, 2019
Citi Field
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Vince Velasquez vs. Jacob deGrom
Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (39-48, 4th in NL East) host the Philadelphia Phillies (45-41, 2nd in NL East) at Citi Field on Friday, July 5, 2019. The Mets open this contest at -190 while the Phillies are coming in at +178. The O/U opens at 8.
The Phillies have been decent for MLB wagerers, having gone 45-41-0 SU. The Mets cover 44.8% of the time, going 39-48-0 straight up. The Mets have been decent for MLB wagerers as the favorite, going 23-20-0 SU. The Phillies cover 36.0% of the time as the underdog, having gone 9-16-0 straight up.
Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies have been a hot and cold Over play for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 39-44-3.
The Phillies cover 42.9% of the time as the away team, having gone 18-24-0 straight up.
Important New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets cover 56.4% of the time at Citi Field, going 22-17-0 SU.
The Mets have been a rough Under play for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 44-33-10.
Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries
7/3/2019 Juan Nicasio RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/30/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
6/22/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/22/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
6/14/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/4/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
Key New York Mets Injuries
7/3/2019 J.D 3B Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
7/3/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/18/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Phillies have a 45-41 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Vince Velasquez has a 2-5 record with an earned run average of 4.73 and a WHIP of 1.42 this season. He has 60 strikeouts over his 51.1 innings pitched and he's given up 50 hits. He's allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.82 and they have given up 300 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the bullpen and they've struck out 288 hitters and walked 118 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.61. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 784 base hits and 392 earned runs. They have allowed 145 home runs this season, ranking them 3rd in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 286 batters and struck out 723. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 5.03.
Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games
Hitting Statistics
As a team Philadelphia is hitting .243, good for 22nd in the league. The Phillies hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .262 with an on-base percentage of .395. He has 79 hits this season in 301 at bats with 55 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .522 and an OPS+ of 135. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .280 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .334. He has totaled 89 hits and he has driven in 37 men in 318 at bats. His OPS+ is 95 while his slugging percentage is at .421. The Phillies have 708 hits, including 163 doubles and 108 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 320 times so far this season and they have struck out 736 times as a unit. They have left 594 men on base and have a team OPS of .743. They score 4.84 runs per contest and have scored a total of 416 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
New York has a 39-48 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.32, Jacob deGrom has a 4-7 record and a 1.11 WHIP. He has 128 strikeouts over the 103 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 92 hits. He's allowing 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.12. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.58 and they have given up 300 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 297 batters and walked 136 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.8. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 777 base knocks and 413 earned runs this season. They have given up 118 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 289 hitters and struck out 798 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.38.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 12th in the league. The Mets hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .278 with an OBP of .372. He has 87 hits this year along with 64 RBI in 313 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .623 with an OPS+ of 164. Jeff McNeil is hitting .349 this season and he has an OBP of .411. He has collected 96 hits in 275 at bats while driving in 35 runs. He has an OPS+ of 151 and a slugging percentage of .516. The Mets as a unit have 767 base hits, including 147 doubles and 123 homers. New York has walked 281 times this year and they have struck out on 775 occasions. They have had 609 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They have scored 4.7 runs per game and totaled 409 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Phillies/Mets MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies +178
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