Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates Baseball Betting Tips 7/21/2019

Sunday, July 21, 2019

PNC Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Vince Velasquez vs. Francisco Liriano

Starling Marte and the Pittsburgh Pirates (45-51, 4th in NL Central) play the Philadelphia Phillies (51-47, 3rd in NL East) at PNC Park on Sunday, July 21, 2019. The Phillies open this game at +110 while the Pirates are coming in at -130. The over/under has been set at 10.5.

The Phillies have been a solid choice for baseball bettors, having gone 51-47-0 SU. The Pirates cover 46.9% of the time, going 45-51-0 straight up. The Pirates have been strong for MLB wagerers as favorites, going 15-12-0 SU. The Phillies cover 40.0% of the time as an underdog, having gone 14-21-0 straight up.

Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have been a less than ideal Over pick for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 46-49-3.

The Phillies cover 44.7% of the time as the visitor, having gone 21-26-0 straight up.

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

Pittsburgh is covering 50.0% of the time at PNC Park, going 22-22-0 SU.

The Pirates have been a very good Over pick for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 56-37-3.

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

7/18/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/17/2019 Jay Bruce LF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/16/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/14/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/13/2019 Sean Rodriguez 3B Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
7/12/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
6/30/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
6/22/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/4/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

7/19/2019 Rookie Davis RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/19/2019 Trevor Williams SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/19/2019 Keone Kela RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/19/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/17/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
7/17/2019 Steven Brault SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/15/2019 Gregory Polanco RF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/13/2019 Erik Gonzalez SS Collarbone Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
7/12/2019 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
6/25/2019 Nick Burdi RP Collarbone Out for the season
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 51-47 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Vince Velasquez has a 2-5 record with an earned run average of 4.87 and a WHIP of 1.39 this season. He has 70 strikeouts over his 61 innings pitched and he's given up 61 hits. He's allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.88. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.98 and they have given up 344 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the bullpen and they've struck out 331 hitters and walked 140 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 895 base hits and 459 earned runs. They have allowed 169 home runs this season, ranking them 3rd in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 332 batters and struck out 820. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 5.15.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .246, good for 21st in the league. The Phillies hold a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .259 with an on-base percentage of .399. He has 88 hits this season in 340 at bats with 61 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .518 and an OPS+ of 135. Bryce Harper is hitting .260 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 94 hits and he has driven in 70 men in 361 at bats. His OPS+ is 118 while his slugging percentage is at .479. The Phillies have 817 hits, including 186 doubles and 124 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 359 times so far this season and they have struck out 850 times as a unit. They have left 687 men on base and have a team OPS of .745. They score 4.85 runs per contest and have scored a total of 475 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 45-51 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.33, Francisco Liriano has a 4-2 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 44 strikeouts over the 46 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 37 hits. He's allowing 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.96 and they have given up 368 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 392 batters and walked 177 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 5.01. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 882 base knocks and 475 earned runs this season. They have given up 135 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 354 hitters and struck out 849 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.68.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .269, good for 4th in the league. The Pirates hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.4 hits per contest. Starling Marte comes into this matchup batting .272 with an OBP of .313. He has 97 hits this year along with 52 RBI in 357 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .476 with an OPS+ of 103. Josh Bell is hitting .291 this season and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 105 hits in 361 at bats while driving in 84 runs. He has an OPS+ of 151 and a slugging percentage of .618. The Pirates as a unit have 904 base hits, including 193 doubles and 103 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 254 times this year and they have struck out on 747 occasions. They have had 664 men left on base and have an OPS of .754. They have scored 4.7 runs per game and totaled 451 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates -130

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