Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves MLB Tips 6/13/2019

Thursday, June 13, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Joe Musgrove vs. Julio Teheran

Josh Bell and the Pittsburgh Pirates (30-36, 4th in NL Central) are headed to SunTrust Park on Thursday where they'll meet the Atlanta Braves (38-29, 1st in NL East). The line on this matchup has the Pirates priced at +160 and the Braves are at -170. The total opens at 9.

The Pirates have been good for oddsmakers, having gone 30-36-0 SU. The Braves are covering 56.7% of the time, going 38-29-0 straight up. The Braves have been a very good pick for MLB wagerers as favorites, going 29-18-0 SU. Pittsburgh covers 41.3% of the time as the underdog, having gone 19-27-0 straight up.

Valuable Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates have been a rough Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 39-26-1.

Pittsburgh covers 48.6% of the time on the road, having gone 17-18-0 straight up.

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves are covering 54.5% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 18-15-0 SU.

The Braves have been a rough Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 36-28-3.

Related: MLB Baseball First Five Innings Betting Strategy

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

6/10/2019 Chris Stratton RP Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 16
6/10/2019 Jordan Lyles SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
6/9/2019 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/8/2019 Rookie Davis RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/8/2019 Trevor Williams SP Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/5/2019 Nick Burdi RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/5/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/4/2019 Nik Turley SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/1/2019 Keone Kela RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
5/13/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
4/25/2019 Erik Gonzalez SS Collarbone Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

6/11/2019 Kevin Gausman SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/10/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/8/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/5/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Pirates have a 30-36 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Joe Musgrove has a 4-6 record with an earned run average of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.20 this season. He has 58 strikeouts over his 73.2 innings pitched and he's given up 68 hits. He's allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.78. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.58 and they have given up 266 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the bullpen and they've struck out 274 hitters and walked 124 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.18. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 601 base hits and 339 earned runs. They have allowed 97 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 246 batters and struck out 580. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.71.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .256, good for 12th in the league. The Pirates hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Josh Bell is hitting .324 with an on-base percentage of .388. He has 80 hits this season in 247 at bats with 58 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .660 and an OPS+ of 173. Melky Cabrera is hitting .335 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .375. He has totaled 58 hits and he has driven in 22 men in 173 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .462. The Pirates have 592 hits, including 120 doubles and 67 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 175 times so far this season and they have struck out 556 times as a unit. They have left 467 men on base and have a team OPS of .721. They score 4.3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 284 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 38-29 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.03, Julio Teheran has a 4-4 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 74 strikeouts over the 77.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 56 hits. He's allowing 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.21. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 234 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 264 batters and walked 118 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 567 base knocks and 286 earned runs this season. They have given up 85 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 249 hitters and struck out 588 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.45.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 9th in the league. The Braves hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .311 with an OBP of .401. He has 79 hits this year along with 43 RBI in 254 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .598 with an OPS+ of 156. Ozzie Albies is hitting .269 this season and he has an OBP of .336. He has collected 70 hits in 260 at bats while driving in 28 runs. He has an OPS+ of 99 and a slugging percentage of .435. The Braves as a unit have 596 base hits, including 110 doubles and 99 homers. Atlanta has walked 245 times this year and they have struck out on 573 occasions. They have had 472 men left on base and have an OPS of .780. They have scored 5.12 runs per game and totaled 343 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Braves -170

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