Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs MLB Point Spread Picks 4/11/2019

Thursday, April 11, 2019

Wrigley Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Joe Musgrove vs. Jose Quintana

The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Wrigley Field on Thursday, April 11, 2019 to play the Chicago Cubs. The probable starters are Joe Musgrove for the Pirates and Jose Quintana for the Cubs.

The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at +136 and Chicago at -146. The Pirates have a 5-4-0 over/under record and a 4-5-0 run line mark. The Cubs are 3-7-0 against the run line and have a 8-2-0 over/under record.

Valuable Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 5-4-0 against the over/under

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 4-5-0 against the run line

Important Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 8-2-0 against the over/under

The Chicago Cubs are 3-7-0 against the run line

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

04/09/19 P Jameson Taillon Head left last game, is questionable next start
04/05/19 P Kyle Crick Triceps 10-day IL (04/04)
04/04/19 LF Corey Dickerson Shoulder 10-day IL (04/04)
03/30/19 P Dovydas Neverauskas Oblique 10-day IL (03/25)
03/30/19 P Edgar Santana Elbow 60-day IL (03/30); is out for season
03/28/19 C Elias Diaz Illness 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 1B Jose Osuna Neck 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 RF Lonnie Chisenhall Finger 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 P Chad Kuhl Elbow 60-day IL (03/01)
03/25/19 RF Gregory Polanco Shoulder is out indefinitely

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

04/10/19 P Jon Lester Hamstring 10-day IL (04/10)
04/06/19 P Mike Montgomery Back 10-day IL (04/05)
03/30/19 P Xavier Cedeno Wrist 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 SS Addison Russell Suspension 29 game suspension - eligible to return May 1st
03/25/19 P Brandon Morrow Elbow is out indefinitely
03/25/19 P Kendall Graveman Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Tony Barnette Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Pirates have a 5-4 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Joe Musgrove has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.44 this season. He has 9 strikeouts over his 9 innings pitched and he's given up 3 hits. He's allowed 3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 1.74. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 22 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .179 against the bullpen and they've struck out 43 hitters and walked 13 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 6.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 2.93. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 57 base hits and 27 earned runs. They have allowed 11 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 27 batters and struck out 90. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.01 and their FIP as a unit is 3.79.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .246, good for 17th in the league. The Pirates hold a .377 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Adam Frazier is hitting .324 with an on-base percentage of .410. He has 11 hits this season in 34 at bats with 3 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .500 and an OPS+ of 138. Josh Bell is hitting .273 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .342. He has totaled 9 hits and he has driven in 8 men in 33 at bats. His OPS+ is 128 while his slugging percentage is at .545. The Pirates have 75 hits, including 18 doubles and 6 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 38 times so far this season and they have struck out 74 times as a unit. They have left 75 men on base and have a team OPS of .715. They score 3.78 runs per contest and have scored a total of 34 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 3-7 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 10.29, Jose Quintana has a 0-1 record and a 2.71 WHIP. He has 11 strikeouts over the 7 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 13 hits. He's allowing 16.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 8.08. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.92 and they have given up 44 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 47 batters and walked 29 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 11 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 6.7. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 102 base knocks and 62 earned runs this season. They have given up 20 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 56 hitters and struck out 87 batters. They give up a walk 6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.90 while their FIP as a staff is 6.16.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .289, good for 3rd in the league. The Cubs hold a .486 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .380, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 10.4 hits per contest. Willson Contreras comes into this matchup batting .308 with an OBP of .455. He has 8 hits this year along with 7 RBI in 26 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .731 with an OPS+ of 199. Jason Heyward is hitting .323 this season and he has an OBP of .421. He has collected 10 hits in 31 at bats while driving in 8 runs. He has an OPS+ of 162 and a slugging percentage of .613. The Cubs as a unit have 104 base hits, including 17 doubles and 18 homers. Chicago has walked 49 times this year and they have struck out on 87 occasions. They have had 79 men left on base and have an OPS of .866. They have scored 7.2 runs per game and totaled 72 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Cubs MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates +136

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