Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 7/30/2019
Tuesday, July 30, 2019
Great American Ball Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Joe Musgrove vs. Tanner Roark
Great American Ball Park is the site where Eugenio Suarez and the Cincinnati Reds (48-55, 4th in NL Central) will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (46-59, 5th in NL Central) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Pirates coming in at +130 and the Reds are at -140. The total opens at 9.5.
The Pirates have been an awful pick for wagerers, having gone 46-59-0 SU. The Reds cover 46.6% of the time, going 48-55-0 straight up. The Reds have been a strong play for baseball bettors as the favorite, going 23-18-0 SU. The Pirates cover 41.1% of the time as the underdog, having gone 30-43-0 straight up.
Valuable Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pirates have been a great Over pick for O/U bettors, having gone 59-42-4.
Pittsburgh covers 41.8% of the time as the visitor, having gone 23-32-0 straight up.
Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Reds cover 52.0% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 26-24-0 SU.
The Reds have been an awful Over pick for O/U bettors, having gone 37-63-3.
Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries
7/28/2019 Josh Bell 1B Hand Probable for Jul 29
7/28/2019 Corey Dickerson LF Groin Probable for Jul 29
7/28/2019 Steven Brault SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/27/2019 Rookie Davis RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
7/25/2019 Gregory Polanco RF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/25/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/25/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Out for the season
7/24/2019 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
7/24/2019 Clay Holmes RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
7/13/2019 Erik Gonzalez SS Collarbone Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/25/2019 Nick Burdi RP Collarbone Out for the season
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries
7/28/2019 Curt Casali C Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/28/2019 Derek Dietrich 2B Knee Probable for Jul 29
7/28/2019 Tyler Mahle SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/28/2019 David Hernandez RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/26/2019 Juan Graterol C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Pirates have a 46-59 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Joe Musgrove has a 7-9 record with an earned run average of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.21 this season. He has 100 strikeouts over his 115.1 innings pitched and he's given up 111 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.01. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.81 and they have given up 389 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen and they've struck out 422 hitters and walked 187 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.96. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 947 base hits and 515 earned runs. They have allowed 155 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 380 batters and struck out 922. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.79.
As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .267, good for 5th in the league. The Pirates hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Josh Bell is hitting .287 with an on-base percentage of .368. He has 111 hits this season in 387 at bats with 86 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .597 and an OPS+ of 148. Starling Marte is hitting .283 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .322. He has totaled 112 hits and he has driven in 60 men in 396 at bats. His OPS+ is 110 while his slugging percentage is at .492. The Pirates have 981 hits, including 217 doubles and 109 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 279 times so far this season and they have struck out 819 times as a unit. They have left 730 men on base and have a team OPS of .749. They score 4.63 runs per contest and have scored a total of 486 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Cincinnati has a 48-55 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.95, Tanner Roark has a 6-6 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 106 strikeouts over the 107 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 113 hits. He's allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.22 and they have given up 313 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 380 batters and walked 152 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 821 base knocks and 402 earned runs this season. They have given up 127 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 343 hitters and struck out 991 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.11.
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 22nd in the league. The Reds hold a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Eugenio Suarez comes into this matchup batting .252 with an OBP of .330. He has 95 hits this year along with 69 RBI in 377 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .525 with an OPS+ of 116. Joey Votto is hitting .258 this season and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 94 hits in 365 at bats while driving in 30 runs. He has an OPS+ of 91 and a slugging percentage of .395. The Reds as a unit have 847 base hits, including 149 doubles and 140 homers. Cincinnati has walked 299 times this year and they have struck out on 900 occasions. They have had 654 men left on base and have an OPS of .736. They have scored 4.45 runs per game and totaled 458 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Pirates/Reds MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Reds -140
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