Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 6/16/2019

Sunday, June 16, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Chris Archer vs. Sandy Alcantara

Melky Cabrera and the Pittsburgh Pirates (31-38, 4th in NL Central) are headed to Marlins Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Miami Marlins (24-43, 5th in NL East). The Pirates open this game at -111 while the Marlins are coming in at +101. The total is set at 8.

The Pirates have been very good for oddsmakers, having gone 31-38-0 SU. Miami is covering 35.8% of the time, going 24-43-0 straight up. The Pirates have been decent for baseball bettors as the favorite, going 11-9-0 SU. Miami is covering 36.4% of the time as an underdog, having gone 24-42-0 straight up.

Valuable Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates have been an excellent Over play for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 42-26-1.

The Pirates cover 47.4% of the time as a visitor, having gone 18-20-0 straight up.

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

Miami is covering 33.3% of the time at Marlins Park, going 12-24-0 SU.

The Marlins have been an inconsistent Over play for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 31-33-3.

Related: MLB Baseball First Five Innings Betting Strategy

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

6/13/2019 Chris Stratton RP Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/13/2019 Erik Gonzalez SS Collarbone Expected to be out until at least Jul 10
6/13/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/13/2019 Jordan Lyles SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
6/12/2019 Keone Kela RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/9/2019 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/8/2019 Rookie Davis RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/8/2019 Trevor Williams SP Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/5/2019 Nick Burdi RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/4/2019 Nik Turley SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
5/13/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/14/2019 Martin Prado 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 23
6/12/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
6/12/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/12/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/12/2019 Neil Walker 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/12/2019 Riley Ferrell RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 29
6/11/2019 Peter O'Brien RF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/11/2019 Caleb Smith SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 23
6/7/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 30

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Pirates have a 31-38 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Chris Archer has a 3-6 record with an earned run average of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.48 this season. He has 61 strikeouts over his 59.2 innings pitched and he's given up 58 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.16. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.36 and they have given up 273 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the bullpen and they've struck out 286 hitters and walked 131 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.16. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 635 base hits and 353 earned runs. They have allowed 98 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 257 batters and struck out 603. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 4.68.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .260, good for 8th in the league. The Pirates hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Melky Cabrera is hitting .328 with an on-base percentage of .366. He has 59 hits this season in 180 at bats with 22 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .450 and an OPS+ of 118. Josh Bell is hitting .321 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .389. He has totaled 84 hits and he has driven in 63 men in 262 at bats. His OPS+ is 173 while his slugging percentage is at .656. The Pirates have 632 hits, including 129 doubles and 71 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 185 times so far this season and they have struck out 570 times as a unit. They have left 491 men on base and have a team OPS of .731. They score 4.45 runs per contest and have scored a total of 307 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 24-43 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.67, Sandy Alcantara has a 3-6 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 52 strikeouts over the 76 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 68 hits. He's allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.36. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.25 and they have given up 215 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 237 batters and walked 117 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.39. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 549 base knocks and 292 earned runs this season. They have given up 82 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 249 hitters and struck out 572 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.44.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .236, good for 24th in the league. The Marlins hold a .348 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Brian Anderson comes into this matchup batting .244 with an OBP of .330. He has 61 hits this year along with 28 RBI in 250 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .376 with an OPS+ of 96. Miguel Rojas is hitting .273 this season and he has an OBP of .335. He has collected 60 hits in 220 at bats while driving in 18 runs. He has an OPS+ of 86 and a slugging percentage of .327. The Marlins as a unit have 534 base hits, including 99 doubles and 50 homers. Miami has walked 168 times this year and they have struck out on 591 occasions. They have had 445 men left on base and have an OPS of .643. They have scored 3.46 runs per game and totaled 232 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins +101

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