Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 8/27/2019
Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Citizens Bank Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Steven Brault vs. Drew Smyly
Rhys Hoskins and the Philadelphia Phillies (67-62, 3rd in NL East) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (55-75, 5th in NL Central) at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday, August 27, 2019. The odds on this matchup have the Pirates priced at +122 and the Phillies are at -132. The O/U has been set at 10.
The Pirates have been excellent for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 55-75-0 SU. Philadelphia covers 51.9% of the time, going 67-62-0 straight up.
Valuable Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pirates have been a bad Under play for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 74-52-4.
Pittsburgh covers 40.6% of the time as a visitor, having gone 26-38-0 straight up.
Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
Philadelphia covers 57.6% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 38-28-0 SU.
The Phillies have been a pretty good Under play for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 60-66-3.
Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries
8/21/2019 Clay Holmes RP Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/21/2019 Chris Archer SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/14/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Out for the season
8/8/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Out for the season
8/8/2019 Nick Burdi RP Collarbone Out for the season
7/25/2019 Gregory Polanco RF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries
8/25/2019 Bryce Harper RF Paternity List Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
8/24/2019 Jay Bruce LF Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/24/2019 Juan Nicasio RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/21/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/21/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/20/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/18/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/17/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/15/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
7/12/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Pirates have a 55-75 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Steven Brault has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 3.98 and a WHIP of 1.41 this season. He has 74 strikeouts over his 83.2 innings pitched and he's given up 80 hits. He's allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.23. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.80 and they have given up 494 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 543 hitters and walked 229 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.03. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 1,194 base hits and 645 earned runs. They have allowed 189 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 461 batters and struck out 1,154. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.71.
As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .263, good for 7th in the league. The Pirates hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Starling Marte is hitting .289 with an on-base percentage of .332. He has 143 hits this season in 495 at bats with 76 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .499 and an OPS+ of 113. Josh Bell is hitting .273 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 128 hits and he has driven in 103 men in 469 at bats. His OPS+ is 137 while his slugging percentage is at .569. The Pirates have 1,187 hits, including 257 doubles and 137 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 350 times so far this season and they have struck out 986 times as a unit. They have left 887 men on base and have a team OPS of .742. They score 4.65 runs per contest and have scored a total of 604 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Philadelphia has a 67-62 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.99, Drew Smyly has a 2-6 record and a 1.69 WHIP. He has 86 strikeouts over the 83.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 95 hits. He's allowing 10.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.92. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.64 and they have given up 462 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 452 batters and walked 180 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.61. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,170 base knocks and 592 earned runs this season. They have given up 209 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 428 hitters and struck out 1,090 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.94.
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 23rd in the league. The Phillies hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Rhys Hoskins comes into this matchup batting .236 with an OBP of .383. He has 106 hits this year along with 73 RBI in 450 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .476 with an OPS+ of 121. Bryce Harper is hitting .254 this season and he has an OBP of .373. He has collected 117 hits in 461 at bats while driving in 92 runs. He has an OPS+ of 122 and a slugging percentage of .497. The Phillies as a unit have 1,085 base hits, including 246 doubles and 161 homers. Philadelphia has walked 473 times this year and they have struck out on 1,139 occasions. They have had 916 men left on base and have an OPS of .743. They have scored 4.82 runs per game and totaled 622 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Pirates/Phillies MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies (-132)
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