Rays vs Astros Game 5 Predictions

Thursday, October 10, 2019

Minute Maid Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Tyler Glasnow vs. Gerrit Cole

Carlos Correa and the Houston Astros play the Tampa Bay Rays at Minute Maid Park on Thursday in Game 5 of the ALDS. The Rays tied the series with a 4-1 win in Game 4. The moneyline on this matchup has the Rays priced at +260 and the Astros are at -290. The over/under is set at 7.5. Tampa's bullpen pitched a great game against a tough offense, and Tommy Pham led the Rays with a 3-5 day including a home run off Justin Verlander.

The Rays have been lousy for oddsmakers, having gone 99-68-0 SU. Houston covers 65.7% of the time, going 109-57-0 straight up.

Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Rays have been an inconsistent Under pick for O/U bettors, having gone 80-78-9.

The Rays are covering 58.3% of the time on the road, having gone 49-35-0 straight up.

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros are covering 74.7% of the time at Minute Maid Park, going 62-21-0 SU.

The Astros have been an inconsistent Under pick for O/U bettors, having gone 74-86-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

10/9/2019 Eric Sogard 2B Foot Expected to be out until at least Oct 10
10/8/2019 Yandy Diaz 3B Foot Expected to be out until at least Oct 10
9/11/2019 Hoby Milner RP Neck Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
9/5/2019 Jose Alvarado RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Nov 1
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Mar 1, 2020

Key Houston Astros Injuries

9/27/2019 Aaron Sanchez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 1, 2020
9/17/2019 Collin McHugh RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 96-66 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Tyler Glasnow has a 6-1 record with an earned run average of 1.78 and a WHIP of 0.89 this season. He has 76 strikeouts over his 60.2 innings pitched and he's given up 40 hits. He's allowed 5.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.26. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.71 and they have given up 668 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the bullpen and they've struck out 825 hitters and walked 262 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.65. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 1,274 base hits and 598 earned runs. They have allowed 181 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 453 batters and struck out 1,621. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.17 and their FIP as a unit is 3.65.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .254, good for 12th in the league. The Rays hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Brandon Lowe is hitting .270 with an on-base percentage of .336. He has 80 hits this season in 296 at bats with 51 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .514 and an OPS+ of 124. Ji-Man Choi is hitting .261 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 107 hits and he has driven in 63 men in 410 at bats. His OPS+ is 119 while his slugging percentage is at .459. The Rays have 1,427 hits, including 291 doubles and 217 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 542 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,493 times as a unit. They have left 1,130 men on base and have a team OPS of .757. They score 4.75 runs per contest and have scored a total of 769 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston has a 107-55 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.50, Gerrit Cole has a 20-5 record and a 0.90 WHIP. He has 326 strikeouts over the 212.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 142 hits. He's allowing 6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have given up 470 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 608 batters and walked 197 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,205 base knocks and 595 earned runs this season. They have given up 230 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 448 hitters and struck out 1,671 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.13 while their FIP as a staff is 3.98.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .274, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .495 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Carlos Correa comes into this matchup batting .279 with an OBP of .358. He has 78 hits this year along with 59 RBI in 280 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .568 with an OPS+ of 137. Jose Altuve is hitting .298 this season and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 149 hits in 500 at bats while driving in 74 runs. He has an OPS+ of 131 and a slugging percentage of .550. The Astros as a unit have 1,538 base hits, including 323 doubles and 288 homers. Houston has walked 645 times this year and they have struck out on 1,166 occasions. They have had 1,168 men left on base and have an OPS of .848. They have scored 5.68 runs per game and totaled 920 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rays (+260)

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