San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/3/2019

Tuesday, September 3, 2019

Chase Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Nick Margevicius vs. Merrill Kelly

Eric Hosmer and the San Diego Padres (64-72, 4th in NL West) go to Chase Field on Tuesday where they'll take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (70-67, 2nd in NL West). The Padres open this game at +110 while the Diamondbacks are priced at -130. The total has been set at 9.5.

The Padres have been a good option for bettors, having gone 64-72-0 SU. Arizona is covering 51.1% of the time, going 70-67-0 straight up.

Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been a dicey Under option for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 63-62-11.

San Diego is covering 48.5% of the time as the road team, having gone 33-35-0 straight up.

Important Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

Arizona is covering 50.0% of the time at Chase Field, going 33-33-0 SU.

The Diamondbacks have been a dicey Under option for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 65-64-8.

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

9/1/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/1/2019 Robert Stock RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/1/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/30/2019 Francisco Mejia C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/28/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/23/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/23/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/20/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/20/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Out for the season
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season
8/16/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
8/10/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
8/10/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 15

Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

8/27/2019 David Peralta LF Shoulder Out for the season
8/27/2019 Yoshihisa Hirano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/26/2019 Taijuan Walker SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
8/15/2019 Luke Weaver SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
6/27/2019 Steven Souza RF Knee Out for the season
3/11/2019 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 64-72 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Nick Margevicius has a 2-6 record with an earned run average of 6.37 and a WHIP of 1.57 this season. He has 38 strikeouts over his 53.2 innings pitched and he's given up 67 hits. He's allowed 11.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.83. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.53 and they have given up 512 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 562 hitters and walked 170 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 1,188 base hits and 607 earned runs. They have allowed 181 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 374 batters and struck out 1,214. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.23.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .243, good for 25th in the league. The Padres hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Eric Hosmer is hitting .285 with an on-base percentage of .331. He has 151 hits this season in 529 at bats with 90 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .456 and an OPS+ of 105. Manny Machado is hitting .267 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .337. He has totaled 136 hits and he has driven in 76 men in 509 at bats. His OPS+ is 112 while his slugging percentage is at .479. The Padres have 1,106 hits, including 195 doubles and 198 home runs. San Diego has walked 403 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,311 times as a unit. They have left 822 men on base and have a team OPS of .735. They score 4.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 599 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Arizona has a 70-67 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.91, Merrill Kelly has a 9-13 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 123 strikeouts over the 150.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 161 hits. He's allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.77. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 473 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Diamondbacks bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 481 batters and walked 197 opposing hitters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.37. The Diamondbacks pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,196 base knocks and 600 earned runs this season. They have given up 179 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Arizona as a staff has walked 434 hitters and struck out 1,184 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.36.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 11th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .446 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Eduardo Escobar comes into this matchup batting .271 with an OBP of .323. He has 146 hits this year along with 109 RBI in 538 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .533 with an OPS+ of 115. Nick Ahmed is hitting .264 this season and he has an OBP of .325. He has collected 125 hits in 473 at bats while driving in 75 runs. He has an OPS+ of 97 and a slugging percentage of .452. The Diamondbacks as a unit have 1,226 base hits, including 243 doubles and 198 homers. Arizona has walked 446 times this year and they have struck out on 1,129 occasions. They have had 936 men left on base and have an OPS of .771. They have scored 5.15 runs per game and totaled 705 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Diamondbacks MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks (-130)

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