San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Picks and Tips 9/27/2019

Friday, September 27, 2019

Chase Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Eric Lauer vs. Taylor Clarke

Adam Jones and the Arizona Diamondbacks (82-77, 2nd in NL West) play the San Diego Padres (70-88, 4th in NL West) at Chase Field on Friday, September 27, 2019. The Padres open this game at +115 while the Diamondbacks are coming in at -125. The total opens at 9.5.

The Padres have been a dicey option for MLB wagerers, having gone 70-88-0 SU. Arizona covers 51.6% of the time, going 82-77-0 straight up.

Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been a dicey Under pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 72-74-12.

San Diego covers 43.6% of the time as the visitor, having gone 34-44-0 straight up.

Important Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks are covering 52.6% of the time at Chase Field, going 41-37-0 SU.

The Diamondbacks have been a dicey Under pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 75-75-9.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

9/24/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Out for the season
9/24/2019 Cal Quantrill SP Rest Out for the season
9/24/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Out for the season
9/24/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/24/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Out for the season
9/21/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Out for the season
9/18/2019 Chris Paddack SP Rest Out for the season
9/17/2019 Adrian Morejon RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/14/2019 Robert Stock RP Biceps Out for the season
9/6/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Out for the season
9/3/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
9/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Out for the season
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season

Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

9/26/2019 Taijuan Walker SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
9/25/2019 Abraham Almonte RF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/23/2019 Zac Gallen SP Rest Out for the season
9/20/2019 Ketel Marte CF Back Out for the season
8/27/2019 David Peralta LF Shoulder Out for the season
6/27/2019 Steven Souza RF Knee Out for the season
3/11/2019 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 70-88 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Eric Lauer has a 8-10 record with an earned run average of 4.53 and a WHIP of 1.39 this season. He has 130 strikeouts over his 145 innings pitched and he's given up 155 hits. He's allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.28. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.58 and they have given up 589 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen and they've struck out 661 hitters and walked 198 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.63. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 1,371 base hits and 719 earned runs. They have allowed 212 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 448 batters and struck out 1,442. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.23.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .238, good for 29th in the league. The Padres hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .252 with an on-base percentage of .332. He has 144 hits this season in 572 at bats with 82 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .451 and an OPS+ of 106. Eric Hosmer is hitting .269 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .315. He has totaled 163 hits and he has driven in 97 men in 607 at bats. His OPS+ is 95 while his slugging percentage is at .427. The Padres have 1,253 hits, including 218 doubles and 215 home runs. San Diego has walked 497 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,540 times as a unit. They have left 984 men on base and have a team OPS of .720. They score 4.27 runs per contest and have scored a total of 674 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Arizona has a 82-77 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.40, Taylor Clarke has a 5-5 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 64 strikeouts over the 81.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 84 hits. He's allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.6. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have given up 554 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Diamondbacks bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 571 batters and walked 234 opposing hitters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Diamondbacks pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,375 base knocks and 683 earned runs this season. They have given up 216 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Arizona as a staff has walked 511 hitters and struck out 1,398 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.42.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .253, good for 13th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Adam Jones comes into this matchup batting .261 with an OBP of .312. He has 126 hits this year along with 67 RBI in 482 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .417 with an OPS+ of 86. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .271 this season and he has an OBP of .322. He has collected 169 hits in 624 at bats while driving in 118 runs. He has an OPS+ of 112 and a slugging percentage of .518. The Diamondbacks as a unit have 1,401 base hits, including 281 doubles and 217 homers. Arizona has walked 527 times this year and they have struck out on 1,338 occasions. They have had 1,099 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They have scored 5.03 runs per game and totaled 800 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Diamondbacks MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Padres (+115)

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