San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Picks and Tips 9/29/2019

Sunday, September 29, 2019

Chase Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Ronald Bolanos vs. Taijuan Walker

Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres (70-90, 4th in NL West) head to Chase Field on Sunday where they'll meet the Arizona Diamondbacks (83-77, 2nd in NL West). The Padres open this contest at +153 while the Diamondbacks are priced at -163. The total has been set at 10.5.

The Padres have been decent for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 70-90-0 SU. Arizona is covering 51.9% of the time, going 83-77-0 straight up.

Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been a good Over option for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 72-75-13.

San Diego is covering 43.0% of the time as the away team, having gone 34-45-0 straight up.

Important Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

Arizona is covering 53.2% of the time at Chase Field, going 42-37-0 SU.

The Diamondbacks have been a good Over option for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 75-75-10.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

9/24/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Out for the season
9/24/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Out for the season
9/24/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Out for the season
9/24/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/24/2019 Cal Quantrill SP Rest Out for the season
9/21/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Out for the season
9/18/2019 Chris Paddack SP Rest Out for the season
9/17/2019 Adrian Morejon RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/14/2019 Robert Stock RP Biceps Out for the season
9/6/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Out for the season
9/3/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
9/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Out for the season
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season

Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

9/27/2019 Abraham Almonte RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/26/2019 Taijuan Walker SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
9/23/2019 Zac Gallen SP Rest Out for the season
9/20/2019 Ketel Marte CF Back Out for the season
8/27/2019 David Peralta LF Shoulder Out for the season
6/27/2019 Steven Souza RF Knee Out for the season
3/11/2019 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 70-90 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Ronald Bolanos has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 6.62 and a WHIP of 1.59 this season. He has 15 strikeouts over his 17.2 innings pitched and he's given up 16 hits. He's allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.94. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.59 and they have given up 594 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen and they've struck out 666 hitters and walked 199 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.61. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 1,382 base hits and 725 earned runs. They have allowed 213 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 455 batters and struck out 1,461. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.22.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .237, good for 29th in the league. The Padres hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .253 with an on-base percentage of .332. He has 147 hits this season in 580 at bats with 83 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .455 and an OPS+ of 107. Eric Hosmer is hitting .267 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .313. He has totaled 163 hits and he has driven in 98 men in 611 at bats. His OPS+ is 94 while his slugging percentage is at .424. The Padres have 1,263 hits, including 220 doubles and 216 home runs. San Diego has walked 501 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,562 times as a unit. They have left 995 men on base and have a team OPS of .717. They score 4.23 runs per contest and have scored a total of 677 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Arizona has a 83-77 overall mark this year. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 559 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Diamondbacks bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 577 batters and walked 235 opposing hitters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Diamondbacks pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,382 base knocks and 686 earned runs this season. They have given up 217 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Arizona as a staff has walked 513 hitters and struck out 1,408 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.42.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .252, good for 14th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Adam Jones comes into this matchup batting .260 with an OBP of .314. He has 126 hits this year along with 67 RBI in 484 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .415 with an OPS+ of 86. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .269 this season and he has an OBP of .321. He has collected 169 hits in 628 at bats while driving in 118 runs. He has an OPS+ of 111 and a slugging percentage of .514. The Diamondbacks as a unit have 1,407 base hits, including 284 doubles and 218 homers. Arizona has walked 532 times this year and they have struck out on 1,346 occasions. They have had 1,108 men left on base and have an OPS of .758. They have scored 5.04 runs per game and totaled 806 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Diamondbacks MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Padres (+153)

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