San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves MLB Picks and Tips 5/1/2019

Wednesday, May 1, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Matt Strahm vs. Max Fried

The San Diego Padres visit SunTrust Park on Wednesday, May 1, 2019 to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Matt Strahm for the Padres and Max Fried for the Braves.

The opening line for this matchup has San Diego at +145 and Atlanta at -155. The Padres have a 12-15-2 over/under record and a 14-15-0 run line mark. The Braves are 13-15-0 against the run line and have a 15-12-1 over/under record.

Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The San Diego Padres are 12-15-2 against the over/under

The San Diego Padres are 14-15-0 against the run line

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 15-12-1 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 13-15-0 against the run line

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

04/29/19 SS Fernando Tatis Jr. Hamstring is questionable Tuesday vs Atlanta Braves
04/27/19 P Brett Kennedy Shoulder 10-day IL
04/24/19 LF Jose Pirela Oblique 10-day IL (04/21)
04/09/19 P Aaron Loup Elbow 10-day IL (04/08)
04/09/19 CF Franchy Cordero Elbow 10-day IL (04/08)
04/03/19 P Jacob Nix Elbow 60-day IL (04/02)
03/25/19 P Dinelson Lamet Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Garrett Richards Elbow is out for season
03/25/19 P Jose Castillo Hip 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Miguel Diaz Knee 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 CF Travis Jankowski Wrist 60-day IL (03/27)

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

04/30/19 P Chad Sobotka Abdominal 10-day IL (04/29)
04/29/19 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 60-day IL (04/28); is out for season
04/28/19 P Jesse Biddle Thigh 10-day IL (04/27)
04/15/19 P Jonny Venters Calf 10-day IL (04/15)
03/25/19 P Darren O'Day Arm 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 16-13 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Matt Strahm has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.05 this season. He has 21 strikeouts over his 26.2 innings pitched and he's given up 23 hits. He's allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.68 and they have given up 90 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the bullpen and they've struck out 122 hitters and walked 38 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.48. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 219 base hits and 101 earned runs. They have allowed 37 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 83 batters and struck out 267. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.16 and their FIP as a unit is 3.99.

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .220, good for 27th in the league. The Padres hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .283, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.1 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .235 with an on-base percentage of .328. He has 24 hits this season in 102 at bats with 12 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .373 and an OPS+ of 91. Fernando Tatis Jr is hitting .300 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .360. He has totaled 30 hits and he has driven in 13 men in 100 at bats. His OPS+ is 143 while his slugging percentage is at .550. The Padres have 207 hits, including 42 doubles and 40 home runs. San Diego has walked 76 times so far this season and they have struck out 278 times as a unit. They have left 154 men on base and have a team OPS of .680. They score 3.55 runs per contest and have scored a total of 103 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 14-14 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.30, Max Fried has a 3-1 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 26 strikeouts over the 31.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 27 hits. He's allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.47. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.50 and they have given up 90 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 110 batters and walked 65 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.7. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 232 base knocks and 129 earned runs this season. They have given up 36 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 127 hitters and struck out 252 batters. They give up a walk 4.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.69.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .266, good for 3rd in the league. The Braves hold a .461 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Ozzie Albies comes into this matchup batting .299 with an OBP of .359. He has 35 hits this year along with 12 RBI in 117 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .513 with an OPS+ of 128. Freddie Freeman is hitting .311 this season and he has an OBP of .434. He has collected 33 hits in 106 at bats while driving in 18 runs. He has an OPS+ of 152 and a slugging percentage of .519. The Braves as a unit have 253 base hits, including 51 doubles and 40 homers. Atlanta has walked 125 times this year and they have struck out on 242 occasions. They have had 223 men left on base and have an OPS of .815. They have scored 5.18 runs per game and totaled 145 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Padres +145

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