San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs MLB Picks and Tips 7/20/2019
Saturday, July 20, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Joey Lucchesi vs. Jose Quintana
Wrigley Field is the site where Kris Bryant and the Chicago Cubs (52-44, 1st in NL Central) will take on the San Diego Padres (46-50, 5th in NL West) on Saturday. The Padres open this contest at +125 while the Cubs are priced at -135. The total opens at 9.
The Padres have been pretty good for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 46-50-0 SU. Chicago is covering 54.2% of the time, going 52-44-0 straight up. The Cubs have been a great pick for bettors as favorites, going 43-25-0 SU. The Padres cover 47.8% of the time as the underdog, having gone 22-24-0 straight up.
Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The Padres have been a dicey Under choice for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 45-43-8.
The Padres cover 50.0% of the time as the away team, having gone 23-23-0 straight up.
Important Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Cubs cover 66.7% of the time at Wrigley Field, going 34-17-0 SU.
The Cubs have been a dicey Over choice for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 47-47-2.
Key San Diego Padres Injuries
7/18/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/18/2019 Travis Jankowski CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
7/12/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/12/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/4/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
7/2/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
Key Chicago Cubs Injuries
7/16/2019 Willson Contreras C Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/13/2019 Cole Hamels SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/12/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/12/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/8/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
7/8/2019 Carl Edwards RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Padres have a 46-50 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Joey Lucchesi has a 7-4 record with an earned run average of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.11 this season. He has 96 strikeouts over his 101 innings pitched and he's given up 84 hits. He's allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.85. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.90 and they have given up 356 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen and they've struck out 392 hitters and walked 115 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 826 base hits and 433 earned runs. They have allowed 134 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 246 batters and struck out 832. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.32.
As a team San Diego is hitting .243, good for 23rd in the league. The Padres hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Eric Hosmer is hitting .284 with an on-base percentage of .333. He has 106 hits this season in 373 at bats with 63 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .440 and an OPS+ of 105. Manny Machado is hitting .273 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 96 hits and he has driven in 62 men in 352 at bats. His OPS+ is 125 while his slugging percentage is at .511. The Padres have 773 hits, including 132 doubles and 146 home runs. San Diego has walked 277 times so far this season and they have struck out 918 times as a unit. They have left 573 men on base and have a team OPS of .737. They score 4.43 runs per contest and have scored a total of 421 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Chicago has a 52-44 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.21, Jose Quintana has a 7-7 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 88 strikeouts over the 107 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 112 hits. He's allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.93. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.21 and they have given up 288 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 303 batters and walked 147 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.03. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 801 base knocks and 384 earned runs this season. They have given up 118 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 318 hitters and struck out 817 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.35.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 12th in the league. The Cubs hold a .456 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Kris Bryant comes into this matchup batting .299 with an OBP of .408. He has 101 hits this year along with 47 RBI in 338 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .565 with an OPS+ of 148. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .285 this season and he has an OBP of .394. He has collected 96 hits in 337 at bats while driving in 61 runs. He has an OPS+ of 135 and a slugging percentage of .525. The Cubs as a unit have 826 base hits, including 163 doubles and 152 homers. Chicago has walked 368 times this year and they have struck out on 870 occasions. They have had 650 men left on base and have an OPS of .794. They have scored 5.09 runs per game and totaled 489 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Padres/Cubs MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Padres +125
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