San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs MLB Picks and Tips 7/21/2019
Sunday, July 21, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Cal Quantrill vs. Kyle Hendricks
Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres (46-51, 5th in NL West) head to Wrigley Field on Sunday where they'll meet the Chicago Cubs (53-44, 1st in NL Central). The Padres open this contest at +178 while the Cubs are priced at -190. The over/under opens at 9.
The Padres have been an inconsistent choice for MLB bettors, having gone 46-51-0 SU. Chicago is covering 54.6% of the time, going 53-44-0 straight up. The Cubs have been terrible for Las Vegas oddsmakers as favorites, going 44-25-0 SU. San Diego is covering 46.8% of the time as an underdog, having gone 22-25-0 straight up.
Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The Padres have been a pretty good Over play for over/under bettors, having gone 45-44-8.
San Diego is covering 48.9% of the time as a visitor, having gone 23-24-0 straight up.
Important Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
Chicago is covering 67.3% of the time at Wrigley Field, going 35-17-0 SU.
The Cubs have been a pretty good Under play for over/under bettors, having gone 47-48-2.
Key San Diego Padres Injuries
7/19/2019 Travis Jankowski CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
7/18/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/12/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/12/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/4/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/2/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season
7/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/28/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
Key Chicago Cubs Injuries
7/19/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/19/2019 Cole Hamels SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/16/2019 Willson Contreras C Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/12/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/12/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Padres have a 46-51 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Cal Quantrill has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.28 this season. He has 39 strikeouts over his 47 innings pitched and he's given up 46 hits. He's allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.58. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.86 and they have given up 357 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 396 hitters and walked 116 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 844 base hits and 440 earned runs. They have allowed 137 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 253 batters and struck out 854. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.33.
As a team San Diego is hitting .243, good for 23rd in the league. The Padres hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .271 with an on-base percentage of .342. He has 98 hits this season in 361 at bats with 64 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .512 and an OPS+ of 124. Eric Hosmer is hitting .285 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .334. He has totaled 109 hits and he has driven in 63 men in 382 at bats. His OPS+ is 104 while his slugging percentage is at .437. The Padres have 793 hits, including 136 doubles and 149 home runs. San Diego has walked 284 times so far this season and they have struck out 944 times as a unit. They have left 592 men on base and have a team OPS of .738. They score 4.42 runs per contest and have scored a total of 429 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Chicago has a 53-44 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.46, Kyle Hendricks has a 7-7 record and a 1.16 WHIP. He has 90 strikeouts over the 101.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 97 hits. He's allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.76. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.20 and they have given up 289 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 308 batters and walked 150 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.04. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 814 base knocks and 389 earned runs this season. They have given up 120 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 321 hitters and struck out 828 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.36.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 13th in the league. The Cubs hold a .456 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this matchup batting .288 with an OBP of .398. He has 98 hits this year along with 65 RBI in 340 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .535 with an OPS+ of 138. Kris Bryant is hitting .296 this season and he has an OBP of .406. He has collected 101 hits in 341 at bats while driving in 47 runs. He has an OPS+ of 147 and a slugging percentage of .560. The Cubs as a unit have 833 base hits, including 164 doubles and 154 homers. Chicago has walked 372 times this year and they have struck out on 881 occasions. They have had 655 men left on base and have an OPS of .793. They have scored 5.1 runs per game and totaled 495 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Padres/Cubs MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Padres +178
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