San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/21/2019

Wednesday, August 21, 2019

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Chris Paddack vs. Luis Castillo

Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres (59-65, 4th in NL West) head to Great American Ball Park on Wednesday where they'll meet the Cincinnati Reds (58-66, 4th in NL Central). The odds on this game have the Padres priced at +128 and the Reds are at -138. The over/under is set at 8.5.

The Padres have been decent for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 59-65-0 SU. Cincinnati covers 46.8% of the time, going 58-66-0 straight up.

Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been a hot and cold Under choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 58-57-9.

The Padres cover 48.4% of the time as the away team, having gone 30-32-0 straight up.

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds cover 53.1% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 34-30-0 SU.

The Reds have been a great Under choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 48-71-5.

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

8/18/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/16/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/16/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season
8/13/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/10/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/10/2019 Adrian Morejon RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
8/10/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
8/7/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/6/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season
7/21/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
6/28/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 26

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

8/20/2019 Jesse Winker LF Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/18/2019 Curt Casali C Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/18/2019 Joey Votto 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/17/2019 Tyler Mahle SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/15/2019 Derek Dietrich 2B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/15/2019 Juan Graterol C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 21

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 59-65 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Chris Paddack has a 7-6 record with an earned run average of 3.44 and a WHIP of 0.98 this season. He has 121 strikeouts over his 115 innings pitched and he's given up 87 hits. He's allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.21. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.70 and they have given up 463 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen and they've struck out 513 hitters and walked 154 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 1,078 base hits and 555 earned runs. They have allowed 165 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 340 batters and struck out 1,103. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.23.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .246, good for 22nd in the league. The Padres hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .264 with an on-base percentage of .333. He has 124 hits this season in 470 at bats with 71 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .470 and an OPS+ of 109. Eric Hosmer is hitting .287 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 139 hits and he has driven in 82 men in 484 at bats. His OPS+ is 105 while his slugging percentage is at .452. The Padres have 1,025 hits, including 177 doubles and 186 home runs. San Diego has walked 372 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,203 times as a unit. They have left 764 men on base and have a team OPS of .742. They score 4.52 runs per contest and have scored a total of 560 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 58-66 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.10, Luis Castillo has a 11-5 record and a 1.14 WHIP. He has 175 strikeouts over the 148 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 107 hits. He's allowing 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have given up 379 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 460 batters and walked 189 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,003 base knocks and 511 earned runs this season. They have given up 167 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 418 hitters and struck out 1,195 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.27.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .250, good for 18th in the league. The Reds hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Tucker Barnhart comes into this matchup batting .236 with an OBP of .335. He has 53 hits this year along with 32 RBI in 225 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .391 with an OPS+ of 86. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .256 this season and he has an OBP of .339. He has collected 115 hits in 449 at bats while driving in 77 runs. He has an OPS+ of 117 and a slugging percentage of .528. The Reds as a unit have 1,044 base hits, including 183 doubles and 175 homers. Cincinnati has walked 360 times this year and they have struck out on 1,070 occasions. They have had 805 men left on base and have an OPS of .750. They have scored 4.54 runs per game and totaled 563 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds (-138)

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