San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 7/4/2019
Thursday, July 4, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Eric Lauer vs. Hyun-Jin Ryu
Eric Hosmer and the San Diego Padres (42-43, 4th in NL West) head to Dodger Stadium on Thursday where they'll meet the Los Angeles Dodgers (58-29, 1st in NL West). The moneyline on this contest has the Padres coming in at +220 and the Dodgers are at -240. The O/U has been set at 8.5.
The Padres have been a dicey bet for MLB wagerers, having gone 42-43-0 SU. Los Angeles covers 66.7% of the time, going 58-29-0 straight up. The Dodgers have been a very good pick for MLB bettors as the favorite, going 58-27-0 SU. San Diego has went 19-21-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 47.5% of the time.
Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The Padres have been a pretty good Over option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 42-35-8.
The Padres are covering 48.7% of the time as the road team, having gone 19-20-0 straight up.
Important Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
Los Angeles covers 79.5% of the time at Dodger Stadium, going 35-9-0 SU.
The Dodgers have been a pretty good Over option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 43-39-5.
Key San Diego Padres Injuries
7/2/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season
7/2/2019 Travis Jankowski CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
7/1/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/28/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
6/28/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Dinelson Lamet SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
6/25/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/17/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Leg Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries
7/2/2019 Justin Turner 3B Elbow Probable for Jul 3
7/1/2019 Tom Koehler SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/30/2019 A.J CF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/28/2019 David Freese 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
6/28/2019 Scott Alexander RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
6/26/2019 Tony Cingrani RP Shoulder Out for the season
6/21/2019 Corey Seager SS Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/20/2019 Rich Hill SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Padres have a 42-43 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Eric Lauer has a 5-7 record with an earned run average of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 66 strikeouts over his 85.1 innings pitched and he's given up 90 hits. He's allowed 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.98. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.92 and they have given up 314 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 349 hitters and walked 105 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 749 base hits and 389 earned runs. They have allowed 119 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 223 batters and struck out 746. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.31.
As a team San Diego is hitting .244, good for 22nd in the league. The Padres hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Eric Hosmer is hitting .296 with an on-base percentage of .347. He has 97 hits this season in 328 at bats with 60 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .463 and an OPS+ of 116. Manny Machado is hitting .276 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .349. He has totaled 86 hits and he has driven in 57 men in 312 at bats. His OPS+ is 128 while his slugging percentage is at .513. The Padres have 695 hits, including 125 doubles and 131 home runs. San Diego has walked 247 times so far this season and they have struck out 821 times as a unit. They have left 508 men on base and have a team OPS of .742. They score 4.53 runs per contest and have scored a total of 385 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Los Angeles has a 58-29 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.83, Hyun-Jin Ryu has a 9-2 record and a 0.90 WHIP. He has 94 strikeouts over the 103 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 86 hits. He's allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.88. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.19 and they have given up 229 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Dodgers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 265 batters and walked 95 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.41. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 655 base knocks and 293 earned runs this season. They have given up 101 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 195 hitters and struck out 769 batters. They give up a walk 2.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.10 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.
As a team, they are batting .266, good for 7th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .472 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Cody Bellinger comes into this matchup batting .344 with an OBP of .441. He has 103 hits this year along with 68 RBI in 299 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .692 with an OPS+ of 193. Max Muncy is hitting .276 this season and he has an OBP of .379. He has collected 79 hits in 286 at bats while driving in 58 runs. He has an OPS+ of 139 and a slugging percentage of .538. The Dodgers as a unit have 785 base hits, including 159 doubles and 140 homers. Los Angeles has walked 340 times this year and they have struck out on 682 occasions. They have had 651 men left on base and have an OPS of .820. They have scored 5.33 runs per game and totaled 464 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Padres/Dodgers MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Dodgers -240
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