San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Picks & Predictions 7/5/2019
Friday, July 5, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Eric Lauer vs. Clayton Kershaw
Dodger Stadium is the venue where Max Muncy and the Los Angeles Dodgers (59-29, 1st in NL West) will play the San Diego Padres (42-44, 4th in NL West) on Friday. The line on this game has the Padres coming in at +199 and the Dodgers are at -215. The O/U has been set at 8.5.
The Padres have been decent for oddsmakers, having gone 42-44-0 SU. Los Angeles is covering 67.0% of the time, going 59-29-0 straight up. The Dodgers have been a strong bet for MLB bettors as the favorite, going 59-27-0 SU. The Padres cover 47.5% of the time as an underdog, having gone 19-21-0 straight up.
Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The Padres have been a bad Under bet for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 43-35-8.
San Diego is covering 48.7% of the time as the road team, having gone 19-20-0 straight up.
Important Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Dodgers cover 80.0% of the time at Dodger Stadium, going 36-9-0 SU.
The Dodgers have been an inconsistent Under bet for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 44-39-5.
Key San Diego Padres Injuries
7/3/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
7/2/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season
7/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
7/2/2019 Travis Jankowski CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/28/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
6/28/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Dinelson Lamet SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
6/25/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/17/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Leg Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries
7/3/2019 Justin Turner 3B Elbow Probable for Jul 4
7/3/2019 Rich Hill SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/1/2019 Tom Koehler SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/30/2019 A.J CF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/28/2019 David Freese 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
6/28/2019 Scott Alexander RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
6/26/2019 Tony Cingrani RP Shoulder Out for the season
6/21/2019 Corey Seager SS Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Padres have a 42-44 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Eric Lauer has a 5-7 record with an earned run average of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 66 strikeouts over his 85.1 innings pitched and he's given up 90 hits. He's allowed 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.98. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.97 and they have given up 318 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 352 hitters and walked 107 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.65. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 758 base hits and 396 earned runs. They have allowed 121 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 226 batters and struck out 753. They have walked 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.32.
As a team San Diego is hitting .244, good for 20th in the league. The Padres hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .272 with an on-base percentage of .346. He has 86 hits this season in 316 at bats with 57 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .506 and an OPS+ of 126. Eric Hosmer is hitting .291 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .343. He has totaled 97 hits and he has driven in 60 men in 333 at bats. His OPS+ is 113 while his slugging percentage is at .456. The Padres have 706 hits, including 126 doubles and 133 home runs. San Diego has walked 248 times so far this season and they have struck out 830 times as a unit. They have left 514 men on base and have a team OPS of .742. They score 4.53 runs per contest and have scored a total of 390 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Los Angeles has a 59-29 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.23, Clayton Kershaw has a 7-2 record and a 1.07 WHIP. He has 82 strikeouts over the 92 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 83 hits. He's allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.75. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.18 and they have given up 230 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Dodgers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 267 batters and walked 95 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.42. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 665 base knocks and 297 earned runs this season. They have given up 103 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 195 hitters and struck out 780 batters. They give up a walk 2.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.10 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.
As a team, they are batting .266, good for 7th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .472 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Max Muncy comes into this matchup batting .276 with an OBP of .377. He has 80 hits this year along with 58 RBI in 290 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .534 with an OPS+ of 138. Cody Bellinger is hitting .345 this season and he has an OBP of .440. He has collected 105 hits in 304 at bats while driving in 70 runs. He has an OPS+ of 197 and a slugging percentage of .707. The Dodgers as a unit have 795 base hits, including 160 doubles and 142 homers. Los Angeles has walked 343 times this year and they have struck out on 691 occasions. They have had 658 men left on base and have an OPS of .819. They have scored 5.33 runs per game and totaled 469 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Padres/Dodgers MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Padres +199
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