San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Picks and Tips 7/6/2019
Saturday, July 6, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Chris Paddack vs. Kenta Maeda
Dodger Stadium is the venue where Cody Bellinger and the Los Angeles Dodgers (60-29, 1st in NL West) will play the San Diego Padres (42-45, 4th in NL West) on Saturday. The Padres open this contest at +150 while the Dodgers are priced at -160. The total is set at 8.5.
The Padres have been a less than ideal pick for baseball bettors, having gone 42-45-0 SU. Los Angeles is covering 67.4% of the time, going 60-29-0 straight up. The Dodgers have been a strong choice for wagerers as a favorite, going 60-27-0 SU. San Diego is covering 46.3% of the time as the underdog, having gone 19-22-0 straight up.
Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The Padres have been a less than ideal Under option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 43-36-8.
The Padres cover 47.5% of the time as the visitor, having gone 19-21-0 straight up.
Important Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Dodgers cover 80.4% of the time at Dodger Stadium, going 37-9-0 SU.
The Dodgers have been a less than ideal Under option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 44-40-5.
Key San Diego Padres Injuries
7/4/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/3/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
7/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
7/2/2019 Travis Jankowski CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/2/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/28/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
6/25/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries
7/4/2019 David Freese 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
7/3/2019 Rich Hill SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/1/2019 Tom Koehler SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/30/2019 A.J CF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/28/2019 Scott Alexander RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
6/26/2019 Tony Cingrani RP Shoulder Out for the season
6/21/2019 Corey Seager SS Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Padres have a 42-45 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Chris Paddack has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 3.05 and a WHIP of 0.94 this season. He has 81 strikeouts over his 76.2 innings pitched and he's given up 55 hits. He's allowed 6.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.95. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.95 and they have given up 321 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 356 hitters and walked 107 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.65. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 764 base hits and 400 earned runs. They have allowed 123 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 228 batters and struck out 764. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.33.
As a team San Diego is hitting .243, good for 23rd in the league. The Padres hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Eric Hosmer is hitting .294 with an on-base percentage of .344. He has 99 hits this season in 337 at bats with 61 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .457 and an OPS+ of 114. Manny Machado is hitting .273 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .347. He has totaled 87 hits and he has driven in 57 men in 319 at bats. His OPS+ is 126 while his slugging percentage is at .505. The Padres have 711 hits, including 126 doubles and 133 home runs. San Diego has walked 251 times so far this season and they have struck out 842 times as a unit. They have left 520 men on base and have a team OPS of .739. They score 4.49 runs per contest and have scored a total of 391 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Los Angeles has a 60-29 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.78, Kenta Maeda has a 7-4 record and a 1.10 WHIP. He has 88 strikeouts over the 88 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 67 hits. He's allowing 6.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.07. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.13 and they have given up 232 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Dodgers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 274 batters and walked 95 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.38. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 670 base knocks and 297 earned runs this season. They have given up 103 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 198 hitters and struck out 792 batters. They give up a walk 2.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.10 while their FIP as a staff is 3.77.
As a team, they are batting .266, good for 6th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .472 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Cody Bellinger comes into this matchup batting .344 with an OBP of .438. He has 106 hits this year along with 71 RBI in 308 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .711 with an OPS+ of 197. Max Muncy is hitting .276 this season and he has an OBP of .379. He has collected 81 hits in 293 at bats while driving in 59 runs. He has an OPS+ of 140 and a slugging percentage of .543. The Dodgers as a unit have 801 base hits, including 161 doubles and 144 homers. Los Angeles has walked 345 times this year and they have struck out on 702 occasions. They have had 663 men left on base and have an OPS of .819. They have scored 5.33 runs per game and totaled 474 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Padres/Dodgers MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Padres +150
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