San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 7/18/2019
Thursday, July 18, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Dinelson Lamet vs. Caleb Smith
Starlin Castro and the Miami Marlins (35-57, 5th in NL East) host the San Diego Padres (45-49, 5th in NL West) at Marlins Park on Thursday, July 18, 2019. The moneyline on this game has the Padres coming in at +100 and the Marlins are at -110. The O/U has been set at 8.
The Padres have been less than ideal for bettors, having gone 45-49-0 SU. Miami is covering 38.0% of the time, going 35-57-0 straight up. The Marlins have been terrible for Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 2-1-0 SU. San Diego is covering 47.8% of the time as an underdog, having gone 22-24-0 straight up.
Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The Padres have been a good Over play for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 45-41-8.
San Diego is covering 50.0% of the time on the road, having gone 22-22-0 straight up.
Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends
Miami is covering 35.4% of the time at Marlins Park, going 17-31-0 SU.
The Marlins have been a solid Under play for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 41-46-5.
Key San Diego Padres Injuries
7/16/2019 Franmil Reyes RF Undisclosed Probable for Jul 17
7/16/2019 Travis Jankowski CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 18
7/12/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/12/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/12/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 18
7/4/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/2/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season
7/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/28/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
7/16/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/16/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/16/2019 Martin Prado 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 18
7/12/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/11/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/8/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/30/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Padres have a 45-49 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dinelson Lamet has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 6.30 and a WHIP of 1.20 this season. He has 14 strikeouts over his 10 innings pitched and he's given up 8 hits. He's allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.96 and they have given up 349 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 382 hitters and walked 114 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 823 base hits and 432 earned runs. They have allowed 133 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 245 batters and struck out 820. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.34.
As a team San Diego is hitting .242, good for 24th in the league. The Padres hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .270 with an on-base percentage of .339. He has 93 hits this season in 345 at bats with 61 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .510 and an OPS+ of 123. Eric Hosmer is hitting .283 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .331. He has totaled 103 hits and he has driven in 63 men in 364 at bats. His OPS+ is 104 while his slugging percentage is at .437. The Padres have 764 hits, including 130 doubles and 145 home runs. San Diego has walked 272 times so far this season and they have struck out 909 times as a unit. They have left 565 men on base and have a team OPS of .736. They score 4.45 runs per contest and have scored a total of 418 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Miami has a 35-57 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.46, Caleb Smith has a 5-4 record and a 1.04 WHIP. He has 94 strikeouts over the 78 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 55 hits. He's allowing 6.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.34. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.95 and they have given up 302 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 324 batters and walked 140 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 755 base knocks and 394 earned runs this season. They have given up 113 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 334 hitters and struck out 793 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.45.
As a team, they are batting .243, good for 22nd in the league. The Marlins hold a .364 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup batting .250 with an OBP of .276. He has 91 hits this year along with 35 RBI in 364 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .343 with an OPS+ of 67. Miguel Rojas is hitting .293 this season and he has an OBP of .348. He has collected 93 hits in 317 at bats while driving in 28 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .369. The Marlins as a unit have 759 base hits, including 145 doubles and 74 homers. Miami has walked 224 times this year and they have struck out on 818 occasions. They have had 607 men left on base and have an OPS of .665. They have scored 3.65 runs per game and totaled 336 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Padres/Marlins MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins -110
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