San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/16/2019

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Chris Paddack vs. Jordan Yamamoto

Starlin Castro and the Miami Marlins (34-57, 5th in NL East) host the San Diego Padres (45-48, 4th in NL West) at Marlins Park on Tuesday, July 16, 2019. The Padres open this matchup at -135 while the Marlins are priced at +125. The O/U is set at 8.5.

The Padres have been a dicey play for baseball wagerers, having gone 45-47-0 SU. Miami covers 37.8% of the time, going 34-56-0 straight up. The Padres have been dicey for MLB wagerers as the favorite, going 23-24-0 SU. Miami covers 36.8% of the time as the underdog, having gone 32-55-0 straight up.

Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been a solid Over option for O/U wagerers, having gone 44-40-8.

San Diego covers 51.2% of the time as the road team, having gone 22-21-0 straight up.

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

Miami covers 34.8% of the time at Marlins Park, going 16-30-0 SU.

The Marlins have been a decent Under option for O/U wagerers, having gone 39-46-5.

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

7/12/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/12/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/12/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 18
7/9/2019 Travis Jankowski CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/4/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/2/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season
7/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/28/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 26

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

7/14/2019 Tayron Guerrero RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 18
7/12/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/11/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/10/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/8/2019 Martin Prado 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/8/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/30/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 45-48 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Chris Paddack has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 2.84 and a WHIP of 0.92 this season. He has 87 strikeouts over his 82.1 innings pitched and he's given up 58 hits. He's allowed 6.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.79. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.91 and they have given up 342 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 377 hitters and walked 112 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.56. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 809 base hits and 420 earned runs. They have allowed 131 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 240 batters and struck out 815. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.31.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .242, good for 23rd in the league. The Padres hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .270 with an on-base percentage of .339. He has 93 hits this season in 345 at bats with 61 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .510 and an OPS+ of 123. Eric Hosmer is hitting .283 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .331. He has totaled 103 hits and he has driven in 63 men in 364 at bats. His OPS+ is 104 while his slugging percentage is at .437. The Padres have 753 hits, including 128 doubles and 143 home runs. San Diego has walked 269 times so far this season and they have struck out 901 times as a unit. They have left 558 men on base and have a team OPS of .734. They score 4.42 runs per contest and have scored a total of 411 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 34-57 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.24, Jordan Yamamoto has a 3-0 record and a 0.90 WHIP. He has 30 strikeouts over the 29 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 11 hits. He's allowing 3.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.90 and they have given up 295 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 320 batters and walked 139 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.29. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 744 base knocks and 388 earned runs this season. They have given up 111 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 331 hitters and struck out 785 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.44.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .241, good for 25th in the league. The Marlins hold a .361 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup batting .250 with an OBP of .276. He has 91 hits this year along with 35 RBI in 364 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .343 with an OPS+ of 67. Miguel Rojas is hitting .293 this season and he has an OBP of .348. He has collected 93 hits in 317 at bats while driving in 28 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .369. The Marlins as a unit have 745 base hits, including 143 doubles and 72 homers. Miami has walked 219 times this year and they have struck out on 813 occasions. They have had 601 men left on base and have an OPS of .659. They have scored 3.56 runs per game and totaled 324 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins +125

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