San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/17/2019

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Chris Paddack vs. Trevor Richards

Miguel Rojas and the Miami Marlins (34-57, 5th in NL East) play the San Diego Padres (45-48, 4th in NL West) at Marlins Park on Wednesday, July 17, 2019. The Padres open this contest at -145 while the Marlins are coming in at +135. The over/under opens at 8.

The Padres have been pretty good for oddsmakers, having gone 45-48-0 SU. Miami is covering 37.4% of the time, going 34-57-0 straight up. The Padres have been an inconsistent pick for baseball wagerers as favorites, going 23-24-0 SU. Miami is covering 36.4% of the time as an underdog, having gone 32-56-0 straight up.

Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been a less than ideal Under option for over/under bettors, having gone 44-41-8.

The Padres are covering 51.2% of the time as the away team, having gone 22-21-0 straight up.

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

Miami is covering 34.0% of the time at Marlins Park, going 16-31-0 SU.

The Marlins have been a less than ideal Over option for over/under bettors, having gone 40-46-5.

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

7/12/2019 Austin Hedges C Bereavement List Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/12/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/12/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 18
7/12/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/9/2019 Travis Jankowski CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/4/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/2/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season
7/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/28/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 26

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

7/14/2019 Tayron Guerrero RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 18
7/12/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/11/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/10/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/8/2019 Martin Prado 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/8/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/30/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 45-48 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Chris Paddack has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 2.84 and a WHIP of 0.92 this season. He has 87 strikeouts over his 82.1 innings pitched and he's given up 58 hits. He's allowed 6.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.79. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.91 and they have given up 342 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 377 hitters and walked 112 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.56. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 809 base hits and 420 earned runs. They have allowed 131 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 240 batters and struck out 815. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.32.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .242, good for 23rd in the league. The Padres hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Eric Hosmer is hitting .283 with an on-base percentage of .331. He has 103 hits this season in 364 at bats with 63 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .437 and an OPS+ of 104. Manny Machado is hitting .270 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .339. He has totaled 93 hits and he has driven in 61 men in 345 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .510. The Padres have 753 hits, including 128 doubles and 143 home runs. San Diego has walked 269 times so far this season and they have struck out 901 times as a unit. They have left 558 men on base and have a team OPS of .734. They score 4.42 runs per contest and have scored a total of 411 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 34-57 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.18, Trevor Richards has a 3-10 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 88 strikeouts over the 99 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 88 hits. He's allowing 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.66. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.90 and they have given up 295 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 320 batters and walked 139 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.29. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 744 base knocks and 388 earned runs this season. They have given up 111 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 331 hitters and struck out 785 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.44.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .241, good for 25th in the league. The Marlins hold a .361 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Miguel Rojas comes into this matchup batting .293 with an OBP of .348. He has 93 hits this year along with 28 RBI in 317 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .369 with an OPS+ of 95. Starlin Castro is hitting .250 this season and he has an OBP of .276. He has collected 91 hits in 364 at bats while driving in 35 runs. He has an OPS+ of 67 and a slugging percentage of .343. The Marlins as a unit have 745 base hits, including 143 doubles and 72 homers. Miami has walked 219 times this year and they have struck out on 813 occasions. They have had 601 men left on base and have an OPS of .659. They have scored 3.56 runs per game and totaled 324 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins +135

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