San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/18/2019

Wednesday, September 18, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Dinelson Lamet vs. Adrian Houser

Miller Park is the site where Yasmani Grandal and the Milwaukee Brewers (81-69, 3rd in NL Central) will play the San Diego Padres (68-82, 4th in NL West) on Wednesday. The Brewers open this matchup at -150 while the Padres are priced at +140. The over/under has been set at 9.

The Padres have been a pretty good play for MLB wagerers, having gone 68-82-0 SU. Milwaukee is covering 54.0% of the time, going 81-69-0 straight up.

Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been a good Over bet for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 69-70-11.

The Padres are covering 44.0% of the time as a visitor, having gone 33-42-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

Milwaukee is covering 58.7% of the time at Miller Park, going 44-31-0 SU.

The Brewers have been a hot and cold Over bet for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 65-80-5.

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

9/17/2019 Hunter Renfroe RF Ankle Probable for Sep 16
9/16/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/16/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/16/2019 Francisco Mejia C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/14/2019 Robert Stock RP Biceps Out for the season
9/12/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/6/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Out for the season
9/6/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/3/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
9/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/1/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Out for the season
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

9/16/2019 Brandon Woodruff SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/16/2019 Keston Hiura 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/16/2019 Manny Pina C Concussion Probable for Sep 16
9/12/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Out for the season
9/10/2019 Christian Yelich RF Kneecap Out for the season
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 68-82 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dinelson Lamet has a 2-5 record with an earned run average of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.26 this season. He has 81 strikeouts over his 62 innings pitched and he's given up 53 hits. He's allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.68. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.59 and they have given up 562 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen and they've struck out 627 hitters and walked 189 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 1,317 base hits and 682 earned runs. They have allowed 201 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 420 batters and struck out 1,347. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.25.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .241, good for 26th in the league. The Padres hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Eric Hosmer is hitting .277 with an on-base percentage of .325. He has 160 hits this season in 577 at bats with 95 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .437 and an OPS+ of 101. Manny Machado is hitting .255 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 141 hits and he has driven in 82 men in 554 at bats. His OPS+ is 109 while his slugging percentage is at .460. The Padres have 1,206 hits, including 211 doubles and 209 home runs. San Diego has walked 472 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,438 times as a unit. They have left 929 men on base and have a team OPS of .729. They score 4.37 runs per contest and have scored a total of 655 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 81-69 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.84, Adrian Houser has a 6-6 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 104 strikeouts over the 98.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 94 hits. He's allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.07. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.54 and they have given up 536 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 686 batters and walked 267 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,280 base knocks and 685 earned runs this season. They have given up 212 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 537 hitters and struck out 1,372 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.55.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 18th in the league. The Brewers hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Yasmani Grandal comes into this matchup batting .252 with an OBP of .382. He has 120 hits this year along with 73 RBI in 477 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .480 with an OPS+ of 122. Mike Moustakas is hitting .261 this season and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 128 hits in 490 at bats while driving in 84 runs. He has an OPS+ of 118 and a slugging percentage of .531. The Brewers as a unit have 1,273 base hits, including 254 doubles and 233 homers. Milwaukee has walked 576 times this year and they have struck out on 1,431 occasions. They have had 1,099 men left on base and have an OPS of .768. They have scored 4.71 runs per game and totaled 706 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers (-150)

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