San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Tips 9/19/2019

Thursday, September 19, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Joey Lucchesi vs. Jordan Lyles

Miller Park is the venue where Mike Moustakas and the Milwaukee Brewers (82-69, 3rd in NL Central) will take on the San Diego Padres (68-83, 4th in NL West) on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has the Padres coming in at +150 and the Brewers are at -160. The over/under opens at 8.

The Padres have been an inconsistent option for MLB bettors, having gone 68-83-0 SU. The Brewers are covering 54.3% of the time, going 82-69-0 straight up.

Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been a hot and cold Under play for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 69-71-11.

San Diego is covering 43.4% of the time on the road, having gone 33-43-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers are covering 59.2% of the time at Miller Park, going 45-31-0 SU.

The Brewers have been a pretty good Under play for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 65-81-5.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

9/17/2019 Wil Myers LF Arm
9/17/2019 Adrian Morejon RP Shoulder
9/16/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/16/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/14/2019 Robert Stock RP Biceps Out for the season
9/12/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/6/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Out for the season
9/6/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/3/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
9/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/1/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Out for the season
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

9/17/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
9/12/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Out for the season
9/10/2019 Christian Yelich RF Kneecap Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 68-83 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Joey Lucchesi has a 10-8 record with an earned run average of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.22 this season. He has 145 strikeouts over his 153.2 innings pitched and he's given up 135 hits. He's allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.25. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.60 and they have given up 565 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen and they've struck out 632 hitters and walked 189 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 1,321 base hits and 685 earned runs. They have allowed 203 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 421 batters and struck out 1,361. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.24.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .240, good for 28th in the league. The Padres hold a .416 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .255 with an on-base percentage of .334. He has 142 hits this season in 557 at bats with 82 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .460 and an OPS+ of 108. Eric Hosmer is hitting .275 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .323. He has totaled 160 hits and he has driven in 95 men in 581 at bats. His OPS+ is 99 while his slugging percentage is at .434. The Padres have 1,210 hits, including 211 doubles and 210 home runs. San Diego has walked 474 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,453 times as a unit. They have left 933 men on base and have a team OPS of .727. They score 4.34 runs per contest and have scored a total of 656 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 82-69 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.25, Jordan Lyles has a 11-8 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 131 strikeouts over the 131.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 125 hits. He's allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.66. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.51 and they have given up 540 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 697 batters and walked 268 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.55. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,284 base knocks and 686 earned runs this season. They have given up 213 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 539 hitters and struck out 1,387 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.53.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 20th in the league. The Brewers hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Mike Moustakas comes into this matchup batting .262 with an OBP of .333. He has 129 hits this year along with 85 RBI in 493 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .535 with an OPS+ of 119. Yasmani Grandal is hitting .249 this season and he has an OBP of .380. He has collected 120 hits in 481 at bats while driving in 73 runs. He has an OPS+ of 120 and a slugging percentage of .476. The Brewers as a unit have 1,277 base hits, including 255 doubles and 235 homers. Milwaukee has walked 577 times this year and they have struck out on 1,445 occasions. They have had 1,101 men left on base and have an OPS of .767. They have scored 4.7 runs per game and totaled 709 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers (-160)

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