San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/17/2019

Saturday, August 17, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Dinelson Lamet vs. Zach Eflin

Eric Hosmer and the San Diego Padres (56-64, 4th in NL West) head to Citizens Bank Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Philadelphia Phillies (62-58, 3rd in NL East).

The Padres have been a less than ideal bet for MLB bettors, having gone 56-64-0 SU. Philadelphia is covering 51.7% of the time, going 62-58-0 straight up.

Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been a dicey Under choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 57-54-9.

San Diego is covering 46.6% of the time as the road team, having gone 27-31-0 straight up.

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies are covering 58.1% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 36-26-0 SU.

The Phillies have been a dicey Over choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 56-61-3.

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

8/15/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 29
8/14/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/13/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/10/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/10/2019 Adrian Morejon RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
8/10/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
8/8/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
8/7/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/6/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season
7/21/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
6/28/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 26

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

8/15/2019 Corey Dickerson LF Finger Probable for Aug 15
8/15/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/14/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/13/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
8/11/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/9/2019 Jay Bruce LF Arm Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
7/31/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/30/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
7/30/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
7/12/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 56-64 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dinelson Lamet has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.26 this season. He has 49 strikeouts over his 35 innings pitched and he's given up 28 hits. He's allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.82. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.77 and they have given up 455 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen and they've struck out 494 hitters and walked 152 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 1,048 base hits and 541 earned runs. They have allowed 160 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 332 batters and struck out 1,063. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.25.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .246, good for 22nd in the league. The Padres hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Eric Hosmer is hitting .287 with an on-base percentage of .334. He has 134 hits this season in 467 at bats with 81 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .454 and an OPS+ of 107. Manny Machado is hitting .263 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .334. He has totaled 119 hits and he has driven in 70 men in 453 at bats. His OPS+ is 111 while his slugging percentage is at .475. The Padres have 992 hits, including 171 doubles and 183 home runs. San Diego has walked 364 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,170 times as a unit. They have left 741 men on base and have a team OPS of .745. They score 4.54 runs per contest and have scored a total of 545 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 62-58 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.49, Zach Eflin has a 7-11 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 99 strikeouts over the 118.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 128 hits. He's allowing 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.85. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.73 and they have given up 428 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 424 batters and walked 172 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,086 base knocks and 550 earned runs this season. They have given up 198 home runs this year, which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 406 hitters and struck out 1,023 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.99.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .246, good for 21st in the league. The Phillies hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .253 with an OBP of .374. He has 111 hits this year along with 83 RBI in 439 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .485 with an OPS+ of 119. J.T. Realmuto is hitting .277 this season and he has an OBP of .330. He has collected 114 hits in 412 at bats while driving in 63 runs. He has an OPS+ of 103 and a slugging percentage of .471. The Phillies as a unit have 1,013 base hits, including 221 doubles and 153 homers. Philadelphia has walked 435 times this year and they have struck out on 1,054 occasions. They have had 854 men left on base and have an OPS of .743. They have scored 4.77 runs per game and totaled 572 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies

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