San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/18/2019

Sunday, August 18, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Joey Lucchesi vs. Jason Vargas

Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres (56-65, 4th in NL West) travel to Citizens Bank Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Philadelphia Phillies (64-58, 3rd in NL East).

The Padres have been an inconsistent play for wagerers, having gone 56-65-0 SU. Philadelphia covers 52.5% of the time, going 64-58-0 straight up.

Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been a hot and cold Under choice for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 58-54-9.

San Diego covers 45.8% of the time as a visitor, having gone 27-32-0 straight up.

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies are covering 59.4% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 38-26-0 SU.

The Phillies have been a hot and cold Over choice for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 58-61-3.

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

8/16/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
8/16/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season
8/13/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/10/2019 Adrian Morejon RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
8/10/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
8/10/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/8/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
8/7/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/6/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season
7/21/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
6/28/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 26

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

8/16/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 17
8/16/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Probable for Aug 17
8/16/2019 Rhys Hoskins 1B Hand Probable for Aug 17
8/15/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
8/15/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/9/2019 Jay Bruce LF Arm Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
7/31/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/30/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
7/30/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
7/12/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 56-65 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Joey Lucchesi has a 7-7 record with an earned run average of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.20 this season. He has 125 strikeouts over his 127 innings pitched and he's given up 110 hits. He's allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.01. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.80 and they have given up 458 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen and they've struck out 497 hitters and walked 153 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 1,060 base hits and 548 earned runs. They have allowed 163 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 334 batters and struck out 1,072. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.27.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .246, good for 22nd in the league. The Padres hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .263 with an on-base percentage of .333. He has 120 hits this season in 457 at bats with 70 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .473 and an OPS+ of 110. Eric Hosmer is hitting .287 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 135 hits and he has driven in 82 men in 471 at bats. His OPS+ is 106 while his slugging percentage is at .454. The Padres have 999 hits, including 173 doubles and 183 home runs. San Diego has walked 366 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,176 times as a unit. They have left 745 men on base and have a team OPS of .744. They score 4.54 runs per contest and have scored a total of 549 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 64-58 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.03, Jason Vargas has a 6-6 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 88 strikeouts over the 111.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 95 hits. He's allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.82. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.66 and they have given up 432 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 427 batters and walked 174 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,102 base knocks and 559 earned runs this season. They have given up 200 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 412 hitters and struck out 1,037 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.98.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 20th in the league. The Phillies hold a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. J.T. Realmuto comes into this matchup batting .280 with an OBP of .332. He has 118 hits this year along with 65 RBI in 421 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .482 with an OPS+ of 106. Bryce Harper is hitting .254 this season and he has an OBP of .374. He has collected 114 hits in 448 at bats while driving in 90 runs. He has an OPS+ of 122 and a slugging percentage of .496. The Phillies as a unit have 1,035 base hits, including 226 doubles and 157 homers. Philadelphia has walked 438 times this year and they have struck out on 1,074 occasions. They have had 867 men left on base and have an OPS of .746. They have scored 4.81 runs per game and totaled 587 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies

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