San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/21/2019

Friday, June 21, 2019

PNC Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Eric Lauer vs. Joe Musgrove

Josh Bell and the Pittsburgh Pirates (33-40, 5th in NL Central) play the San Diego Padres (38-37, 4th in NL West) at PNC Park on Friday, June 21, 2019. The Pirates open this contest at -110 while the Padres are coming in at +100. The over/under is set at 9.5.

The Padres have been hot and cold for oddsmakers, having gone 38-37-0 SU. The Pirates cover 45.2% of the time, going 33-40-0 straight up. The Pirates have been bad for Las Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 13-10-0 SU. San Diego has gone 19-20-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 48.7% of the time.

Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been a decent Over bet for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 37-33-5.

San Diego covers 50.0% of the time as the road team, having gone 17-17-0 straight up.

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

Pittsburgh covers 42.4% of the time at PNC Park, going 14-19-0 SU.

The Pirates have been a strong Over bet for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 44-27-2.

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

6/18/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/18/2019 Travis Jankowski CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/18/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/17/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Leg Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/2/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/1/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
5/29/2019 Dinelson Lamet SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
5/27/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
2/19/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

6/19/2019 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/19/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/19/2019 Jordan Lyles SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/19/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/18/2019 Rookie Davis RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/15/2019 Keone Kela RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/13/2019 Erik Gonzalez SS Collarbone Expected to be out until at least Jul 10
6/5/2019 Nick Burdi RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 38-37 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Eric Lauer has a 5-6 record with an earned run average of 4.60 and a WHIP of 1.36 this season. He has 59 strikeouts over his 74.1 innings pitched and he's given up 79 hits. He's allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.86 and they have given up 267 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen and they've struck out 309 hitters and walked 88 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 643 base hits and 336 earned runs. They have allowed 107 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 192 batters and struck out 657. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.29.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .241, good for 23rd in the league. The Padres hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Eric Hosmer is hitting .288 with an on-base percentage of .341. He has 82 hits this season in 285 at bats with 50 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .453 and an OPS+ of 112. Manny Machado is hitting .270 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 74 hits and he has driven in 42 men in 274 at bats. His OPS+ is 118 while his slugging percentage is at .467. The Padres have 603 hits, including 107 doubles and 110 home runs. San Diego has walked 212 times so far this season and they have struck out 731 times as a unit. They have left 440 men on base and have a team OPS of .730. They score 4.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 329 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 33-40 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.87, Joe Musgrove has a 4-7 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 61 strikeouts over the 77.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 77 hits. He's allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.12 and they have given up 283 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 301 batters and walked 137 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.12. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 671 base knocks and 370 earned runs this season. They have given up 101 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 268 hitters and struck out 642 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.61.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 7th in the league. The Pirates hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. Josh Bell comes into this matchup batting .315 with an OBP of .383. He has 88 hits this year along with 66 RBI in 279 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .649 with an OPS+ of 168. Melky Cabrera is hitting .325 this season and he has an OBP of .361. He has collected 62 hits in 191 at bats while driving in 23 runs. He has an OPS+ of 115 and a slugging percentage of .450. The Pirates as a unit have 670 base hits, including 142 doubles and 74 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 194 times this year and they have struck out on 596 occasions. They have had 517 men left on base and have an OPS of .735. They have scored 4.48 runs per game and totaled 327 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Pirates -110

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