San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/23/2019

Sunday, June 23, 2019

PNC Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Joey Lucchesi vs. Steven Brault

Eric Hosmer and the San Diego Padres (38-38, 3rd in NL West) travel to PNC Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (34-40, 5th in NL Central). The Padres open this game at -137 while the Pirates are coming in at +127. The over/under has been set at 9.

The Padres have been decent for oddsmakers, having gone 38-38-0 SU. Pittsburgh covers 46.0% of the time, going 34-40-0 straight up. The Padres have been dicey for Las Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 19-17-0 SU. The Pirates are covering 40.0% of the time as an underdog, having gone 20-30-0 straight up.

Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been a dicey Under option for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 37-34-5.

The Padres are covering 48.6% of the time away from home, having gone 17-18-0 straight up.

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

Pittsburgh covers 44.1% of the time at PNC Park, going 15-19-0 SU.

The Pirates have been an awful Under option for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 44-28-2.

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

6/21/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/18/2019 Travis Jankowski CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/18/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/17/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Leg Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/2/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/1/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
5/29/2019 Dinelson Lamet SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
5/27/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
2/19/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

6/20/2019 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/19/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/19/2019 Jordan Lyles SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/19/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/18/2019 Rookie Davis RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/15/2019 Keone Kela RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/13/2019 Erik Gonzalez SS Collarbone Expected to be out until at least Jul 10
6/5/2019 Nick Burdi RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 38-38 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Joey Lucchesi has a 6-4 record with an earned run average of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.11 this season. He has 78 strikeouts over his 79.1 innings pitched and he's given up 65 hits. He's allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.84 and they have given up 268 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen and they've struck out 310 hitters and walked 88 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.5. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 649 base hits and 337 earned runs. They have allowed 107 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 193 batters and struck out 662. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.27.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .241, good for 23rd in the league. The Padres hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Eric Hosmer is hitting .284 with an on-base percentage of .337. He has 82 hits this season in 289 at bats with 50 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .446 and an OPS+ of 109. Manny Machado is hitting .271 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 75 hits and he has driven in 43 men in 277 at bats. His OPS+ is 121 while his slugging percentage is at .477. The Padres have 610 hits, including 110 doubles and 111 home runs. San Diego has walked 214 times so far this season and they have struck out 740 times as a unit. They have left 448 men on base and have a team OPS of .729. They score 4.34 runs per contest and have scored a total of 330 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 34-40 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.40, Steven Brault has a 3-1 record and a 1.55 WHIP. He has 40 strikeouts over the 47 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 49 hits. He's allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.91. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.08 and they have given up 285 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 302 batters and walked 139 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.06. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 678 base knocks and 371 earned runs this season. They have given up 102 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 270 hitters and struck out 651 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.59.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .260, good for 8th in the league. The Pirates hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Josh Bell comes into this matchup batting .312 with an OBP of .379. He has 88 hits this year along with 66 RBI in 282 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .642 with an OPS+ of 165. Melky Cabrera is hitting .320 this season and he has an OBP of .356. He has collected 62 hits in 194 at bats while driving in 23 runs. He has an OPS+ of 112 and a slugging percentage of .443. The Pirates as a unit have 675 base hits, including 143 doubles and 74 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 195 times this year and they have struck out on 601 occasions. They have had 521 men left on base and have an OPS of .732. They have scored 4.45 runs per game and totaled 329 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Pirates +127

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