San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves MLB Picks and Tips 9/21/2019

Saturday, September 21, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Johnny Cueto vs. Max Fried

SunTrust Park is the venue where Ronald Acuna Jr and the Atlanta Braves (94-60, 1st in NL East) will take on the San Francisco Giants (74-79, 3rd in NL West) on Saturday. The Giants open this contest at +115 while the Braves are priced at -125. The O/U is set at 9.5.

The Giants have been solid for MLB bettors, having gone 74-79-0 SU. Atlanta covers 61.0% of the time, going 94-60-0 straight up.

Valuable San Francisco Giants Betting Trends

The Giants have been a less than ideal Under pick for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 74-71-8.

The Giants are covering 52.6% of the time as the road team, having gone 41-37-0 straight up.

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

Atlanta covers 61.5% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 48-30-0 SU.

The Braves have been a less than ideal Under pick for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 72-74-8.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key San Francisco Giants Injuries

9/15/2019 Tony Watson RP Wrist Out for the season
9/12/2019 Reyes Moronta RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/7/2019 Zach Green 3B Hip Out for the season
9/6/2019 Trevor Gott RP Elbow Out for the season
9/3/2019 Pablo Sandoval 3B Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2019 Steven Duggar CF Shoulder Out for the season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/18/2019 Johan Camargo SS Lower Leg Out for the season
9/18/2019 Francisco Cervelli C Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/17/2019 Charlie Culberson LF Face Out for the season
9/17/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/12/2019 A.J RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/5/2019 Alex Jackson C Knee Out for the season
8/19/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Giants have a 74-79 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Johnny Cueto has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.70 this season. He has 6 strikeouts over his 10 innings pitched and he's given up 4 hits. He's allowed 3.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.92. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 511 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 557 hitters and walked 210 batters. As a team, San Francisco allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Giants pitchers collectively have given up 1,322 base hits and 669 earned runs. They have allowed 213 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. San Francisco as a pitching staff has walked 479 batters and struck out 1,267. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.56.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Francisco is hitting .240, good for 29th in the league. The Giants hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Brandon Belt is hitting .238 with an on-base percentage of .342. He has 120 hits this season in 505 at bats with 57 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .412 and an OPS+ of 101. Kevin Pillar is hitting .261 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .288. He has totaled 151 hits and he has driven in 85 men in 578 at bats. His OPS+ is 91 while his slugging percentage is at .441. The Giants have 1,265 hits, including 289 doubles and 161 home runs. San Francisco has walked 450 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,358 times as a unit. They have left 1,001 men on base and have a team OPS of .701. They score 4.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 656 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 94-60 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.25, Max Fried has a 16-6 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 166 strikeouts over the 156.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 168 hits. He's allowing 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.82. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.29 and they have given up 531 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 559 batters and walked 241 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,352 base knocks and 646 earned runs this season. They have given up 196 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 535 hitters and struck out 1,321 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.45.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 10th in the league. The Braves hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Ronald Acuna Jr comes into this matchup batting .279 with an OBP of .363. He has 173 hits this year along with 99 RBI in 620 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .513 with an OPS+ of 121. Freddie Freeman is hitting .299 this season and he has an OBP of .395. He has collected 174 hits in 581 at bats while driving in 119 runs. He has an OPS+ of 141 and a slugging percentage of .561. The Braves as a unit have 1,366 base hits, including 265 doubles and 239 homers. Atlanta has walked 586 times this year and they have struck out on 1,387 occasions. They have had 1,078 men left on base and have an OPS of .791. They have scored 5.3 runs per game and totaled 816 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Giants/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Giants (+115)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn