San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds MLB Picks and Tips 5/5/2019

Sunday, May 5, 2019

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jeff Samardzija vs. Luis Castillo

The San Francisco Giants visit Great American Ball Park on Sunday, May 5, 2019 to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Jeff Samardzija for the Giants and Luis Castillo for the Reds.

The opening line for this matchup has San Francisco at +155 and Cincinnati at -165. The Giants have a 13-17-2 over/under record and a 14-18-0 run line mark. The Reds are 17-15-0 against the run line and have a 8-23-1 over/under record.

Valuable San Francisco Giants Betting Trends

The San Francisco Giants are 13-17-2 against the over/under

The San Francisco Giants are 14-18-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 8-23-1 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 17-15-0 against the run line

Key San Francisco Giants Injuries

04/29/19 P Derek Holland Finger 10-day IL (04/29)
03/28/19 P Johnny Cueto Elbow is out for season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

04/23/19 LF Matt Kemp Ribs 10-day IL (04/23)
03/30/19 3B Alex Blandino Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 P Alex Wood Back 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 2B Scooter Gennett Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Giants have a 14-18 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jeff Samardzija has a 2-1 record with an earned run average of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.06 this season. He has 25 strikeouts over his 32 innings pitched and he's given up 24 hits. He's allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.14 and they have given up 99 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the bullpen and they've struck out 117 hitters and walked 37 batters. As a team, San Francisco allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.86. The Giants pitchers collectively have given up 254 base hits and 123 earned runs. They have allowed 37 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. San Francisco as a pitching staff has walked 93 batters and struck out 284. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.89.

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Francisco is hitting .221, good for 28th in the league. The Giants hold a .356 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .279, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.3 hits per game. Brandon Belt is hitting .229 with an on-base percentage of .339. He has 24 hits this season in 105 at bats with 15 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .467 and an OPS+ of 117. Buster Posey is hitting .253 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .308. He has totaled 24 hits and he has driven in 10 men in 95 at bats. His OPS+ is 89 while his slugging percentage is at .389. The Giants have 235 hits, including 57 doubles and 27 home runs. San Francisco has walked 79 times so far this season and they have struck out 274 times as a unit. They have left 191 men on base and have a team OPS of .635. They score 3.44 runs per contest and have scored a total of 110 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 13-19 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.45, Luis Castillo has a 3-1 record and a 0.99 WHIP. He has 50 strikeouts over the 43.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 26 hits. He's allowing 5.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.78 and they have given up 103 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 113 batters and walked 46 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.47. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 247 base knocks and 109 earned runs this season. They have given up 25 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 108 hitters and struck out 297 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 3.45.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .210, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .375 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .285, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 6.8 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .217 with an OBP of .320. He has 23 hits this year along with 5 RBI in 106 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .368 with an OPS+ of 80. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .220 this season and he has an OBP of .312. He has collected 24 hits in 109 at bats while driving in 16 runs. He has an OPS+ of 99 and a slugging percentage of .459. The Reds as a unit have 219 base hits, including 42 doubles and 42 homers. Cincinnati has walked 100 times this year and they have struck out on 291 occasions. They have had 186 men left on base and have an OPS of .660. They have scored 3.78 runs per game and totaled 121 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Giants/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Giants +155

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