San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Picks and Tips 7/13/2019
Saturday, July 13, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Madison Bumgarner vs. Zach Davies
Kevin Pillar and the San Francisco Giants (41-48, 5th in NL West) head to Miller Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Milwaukee Brewers (47-44, 2nd in NL Central). The Brewers open this matchup at -129 while the Giants are priced at +119. The over/under has been set at 9.
The Giants have been less than ideal for bettors, having gone 41-48-0 SU. Milwaukee is covering 51.6% of the time, going 47-44-0 straight up. The Brewers have been good for MLB bettors as the favorite, going 28-24-0 SU. San Francisco has went 29-43-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 40.3% of the time.
Valuable San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The Giants have been a rough Under pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 47-38-4.
San Francisco is covering 48.8% of the time as a visitor, having gone 21-22-0 straight up.
Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Brewers are covering 60.0% of the time at Miller Park, going 27-18-0 SU.
The Brewers have been an inconsistent Over pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 40-48-3.
Key San Francisco Giants Injuries
7/8/2019 Travis Bergen RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/8/2019 Madison Bumgarner SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 13
7/8/2019 Stephen Vogt C Knee Probable for Jul 12
6/21/2019 Nick Vincent RP Pectoral Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
2/19/2019 Johnny Cueto SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
7/8/2019 Ryan Braun LF Knee Probable for Jul 12
7/8/2019 Josh Hader RP Back Probable for Jul 12
7/8/2019 Orlando Arcia SS Shoulder Probable for Jul 12
6/28/2019 Jimmy Nelson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/27/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Giants have a 41-48 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Madison Bumgarner has a 5-7 record with an earned run average of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.20 this season. He has 115 strikeouts over his 111.2 innings pitched and he's given up 110 hits. He's allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.9. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.90 and they have given up 298 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen and they've struck out 334 hitters and walked 112 batters. As a team, San Francisco allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Giants pitchers collectively have given up 777 base hits and 400 earned runs. They have allowed 124 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. San Francisco as a pitching staff has walked 281 batters and struck out 754. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.55.
As a team San Francisco is hitting .230, good for 30th in the league. The Giants hold a .385 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.7 hits per game. Kevin Pillar is hitting .247 with an on-base percentage of .275. He has 81 hits this season in 328 at bats with 48 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .418 and an OPS+ of 82. Joe Panik is hitting .228 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .305. He has totaled 66 hits and he has driven in 22 men in 290 at bats. His OPS+ is 67 while his slugging percentage is at .314. The Giants have 685 hits, including 166 doubles and 88 home runs. San Francisco has walked 267 times so far this season and they have struck out 764 times as a unit. They have left 547 men on base and have a team OPS of .682. They score 4.15 runs per contest and have scored a total of 369 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Milwaukee has a 47-44 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.07, Zach Davies has a 7-2 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 63 strikeouts over the 96.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 103 hits. He's allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.39 and they have given up 322 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 403 batters and walked 153 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.61. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 810 base knocks and 422 earned runs this season. They have given up 123 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 312 hitters and struck out 844 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.35.
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 20th in the league. The Brewers hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Lorenzo Cain comes into this matchup batting .246 with an OBP of .309. He has 84 hits this year along with 30 RBI in 341 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .352 with an OPS+ of 71. Christian Yelich is hitting .329 this season and he has an OBP of .433. He has collected 100 hits in 304 at bats while driving in 67 runs. He has an OPS+ of 188 and a slugging percentage of .707. The Brewers as a unit have 765 base hits, including 145 doubles and 155 homers. Milwaukee has walked 345 times this year and they have struck out on 864 occasions. They have had 641 men left on base and have an OPS of .770. They have scored 4.75 runs per game and totaled 432 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Giants/Brewers MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Giants +119
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks