San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/31/2019

Wednesday, July 31, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jeff Samardzija vs. Vince Velasquez

Citizens Bank Park is the venue where Rhys Hoskins and the Philadelphia Phillies (55-50, 3rd in NL East) will play the San Francisco Giants (54-52, 2nd in NL West) on Wednesday. The Giants open this game at +115 while the Phillies are priced at -125. The O/U has been set at 9.5.

The Giants have been decent for baseball bettors, having gone 54-52-0 SU. Philadelphia is covering 52.4% of the time, going 55-50-0 straight up. The Phillies have been an excellent pick for MLB wagerers as favorites, going 40-26-0 SU. The Giants are covering 46.5% of the time as the underdog, having gone 40-46-0 straight up.

Valuable San Francisco Giants Betting Trends

The Giants have been a less than ideal Under option for over/under bettors, having gone 55-46-5.

The Giants are covering 54.7% of the time away from home, having gone 29-24-0 straight up.

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies are covering 57.4% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 31-23-0 SU.

The Phillies have been a good Under option for over/under bettors, having gone 49-53-3.

Key San Francisco Giants Injuries

7/28/2019 Travis Bergen RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/27/2019 Evan Longoria 3B Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
2/19/2019 Johnny Cueto SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

7/28/2019 Jean Segura SS Lower Leg Probable for Jul 30
7/28/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/27/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/26/2019 Jay Bruce LF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/24/2019 Brad Miller 3B Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
7/20/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/20/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/12/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
6/30/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Giants have a 54-52 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jeff Samardzija has a 7-8 record with an earned run average of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.18 this season. He has 102 strikeouts over his 116.1 innings pitched and he's given up 105 hits. He's allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.58. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.78 and they have given up 356 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen and they've struck out 411 hitters and walked 133 batters. As a team, San Francisco allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Giants pitchers collectively have given up 925 base hits and 467 earned runs. They have allowed 148 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. San Francisco as a pitching staff has walked 325 batters and struck out 934. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.45.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Francisco is hitting .237, good for 28th in the league. The Giants hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Brandon Belt is hitting .233 with an on-base percentage of .350. He has 80 hits this season in 344 at bats with 36 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .390 and an OPS+ of 99. Kevin Pillar is hitting .238 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .266. He has totaled 96 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 403 at bats. His OPS+ is 74 while his slugging percentage is at .395. The Giants have 859 hits, including 211 doubles and 109 home runs. San Francisco has walked 326 times so far this season and they have struck out 931 times as a unit. They have left 676 men on base and have a team OPS of .698. They score 4.37 runs per contest and have scored a total of 463 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 55-50 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.46, Vince Velasquez has a 3-5 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 79 strikeouts over the 66.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 65 hits. He's allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.48. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.75 and they have given up 370 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 370 batters and walked 154 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 957 base knocks and 486 earned runs this season. They have given up 176 home runs this year, which ranks 3rd in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 361 hitters and struck out 899 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 5.05.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .245, good for 22nd in the league. The Phillies hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Rhys Hoskins comes into this matchup batting .260 with an OBP of .397. He has 96 hits this year along with 66 RBI in 369 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .520 with an OPS+ of 135. Bryce Harper is hitting .254 this season and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 98 hits in 386 at bats while driving in 72 runs. He has an OPS+ of 116 and a slugging percentage of .472. The Phillies as a unit have 881 base hits, including 196 doubles and 135 homers. Philadelphia has walked 378 times this year and they have struck out on 927 occasions. They have had 741 men left on base and have an OPS of .743. They have scored 4.79 runs per game and totaled 503 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Giants/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies -125

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