San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres MLB Picks and Tips 7/28/2019
Sunday, July 28, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Madison Bumgarner vs. Chris Paddack
Kevin Pillar and the San Francisco Giants (53-51, 2nd in NL West) go to Petco Park on Sunday where they'll take on the San Diego Padres (48-55, 5th in NL West). The Padres open this matchup at -125 while the Giants are coming in at +115. The over/under has been set at 9.5.
The Giants have been pretty good for baseball wagerers, having gone 53-51-0 SU. The Padres cover 46.6% of the time, going 48-55-0 straight up. The Padres have been solid for Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 24-28-0 SU. San Francisco has gone 40-45-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 47.1% of the time.
Valuable San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The Giants have been a less than ideal Under option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 54-45-5.
The Giants cover 54.9% of the time away from home, having gone 28-23-0 straight up.
Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends
San Diego covers 45.1% of the time at Petco Park, going 23-28-0 SU.
The Padres have been a solid Under option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 46-49-8.
Key San Francisco Giants Injuries
7/18/2019 Travis Bergen RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/16/2019 Evan Longoria 3B Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/21/2019 Nick Vincent RP Pectoral Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
2/19/2019 Johnny Cueto SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
Key San Diego Padres Injuries
7/25/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/24/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/21/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
7/21/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/20/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/4/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/2/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Giants have a 53-51 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Madison Bumgarner has a 5-7 record with an earned run average of 3.66 and a WHIP of 1.17 this season. He has 134 strikeouts over his 132.2 innings pitched and he's given up 128 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.61. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.76 and they have given up 351 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen and they've struck out 409 hitters and walked 130 batters. As a team, San Francisco allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Giants pitchers collectively have given up 909 base hits and 456 earned runs. They have allowed 145 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. San Francisco as a pitching staff has walked 318 batters and struck out 919. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.43.
As a team San Francisco is hitting .235, good for 28th in the league. The Giants hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Kevin Pillar is hitting .241 with an on-base percentage of .269. He has 95 hits this season in 394 at bats with 55 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .398 and an OPS+ of 76. Brandon Belt is hitting .236 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 80 hits and he has driven in 36 men in 339 at bats. His OPS+ is 102 while his slugging percentage is at .395. The Giants have 838 hits, including 204 doubles and 109 home runs. San Francisco has walked 317 times so far this season and they have struck out 916 times as a unit. They have left 657 men on base and have a team OPS of .696. They score 4.38 runs per contest and have scored a total of 455 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
San Diego has a 48-55 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.84, Chris Paddack has a 6-5 record and a 0.90 WHIP. He has 99 strikeouts over the 95 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 64 hits. He's allowing 6.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.01. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.56 and they have given up 373 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 428 batters and walked 125 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 890 base knocks and 460 earned runs this season. They have given up 142 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 275 hitters and struck out 909 batters. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.29.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 26th in the league. The Padres hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup batting .281 with an OBP of .330. He has 114 hits this year along with 64 RBI in 405 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .432 with an OPS+ of 103. Manny Machado is hitting .273 this season and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 105 hits in 385 at bats while driving in 66 runs. He has an OPS+ of 124 and a slugging percentage of .506. The Padres as a unit have 838 base hits, including 146 doubles and 154 homers. San Diego has walked 309 times this year and they have struck out on 999 occasions. They have had 636 men left on base and have an OPS of .734. They have scored 4.36 runs per game and totaled 449 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Giants/Padres MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Giants +115
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