Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/28/2019

Friday, June 28, 2019

Minute Maid Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Tommy Milone vs. Wade Miley

Michael Brantley and the Houston Astros (50-31, 1st in AL West) host the Seattle Mariners (37-47, 5th in AL West) at Minute Maid Park on Friday, June 28, 2019. The Mariners open this matchup at +120 while the Astros are coming in at -130. The total is set at 9.5.

The Mariners have been an awful option for MLB bettors, having gone 37-47-0 SU. Houston is covering 61.7% of the time, going 50-31-0 straight up. The Astros have been a very good option for bettors as a favorite, going 49-26-0 SU. Seattle is covering 39.0% of the time as an underdog, having gone 23-36-0 straight up.

Valuable Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners have been a strong Over bet for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 56-25-3.

The Mariners are covering 45.0% of the time as the visitor, having gone 18-22-0 straight up.

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

Houston is covering 70.0% of the time at Minute Maid Park, going 28-12-0 SU.

The Astros have been a terrible Over bet for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 35-43-3.

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Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

6/26/2019 Sam Tuivailala RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Brandon Brennan RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/23/2019 Chasen Bradford RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
6/20/2019 Mitch Haniger RF Groin Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/19/2019 Felix Hernandez SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/18/2019 Connor Sadzeck RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/17/2019 Braden Bishop CF Chest Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/16/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/11/2019 Hunter Strickland RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Houston Astros Injuries

6/25/2019 Joe Smith RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/20/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/20/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mariners have a 37-47 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Tommy Milone has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 3.35 and a WHIP of 0.96 this season. He has 38 strikeouts over his 37.2 innings pitched and he's given up 28 hits. He's allowed 6.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.87. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.11 and they have given up 323 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen and they've struck out 337 hitters and walked 165 batters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.27. The Mariners pitchers collectively have given up 808 base hits and 438 earned runs. They have allowed 140 home runs this season, ranking them 2nd in the league. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 277 batters and struck out 651. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.10.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Seattle is hitting .247, good for 19th in the league. The Mariners hold a .455 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Domingo Santana is hitting .282 with an on-base percentage of .351. He has 90 hits this season in 319 at bats with 60 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .505 and an OPS+ of 130. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .230 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .346. He has totaled 63 hits and he has driven in 54 men in 274 at bats. His OPS+ is 131 while his slugging percentage is at .522. The Mariners have 717 hits, including 150 doubles and 145 home runs. Seattle has walked 324 times so far this season and they have struck out 818 times as a unit. They have left 586 men on base and have a team OPS of .782. They score 5.32 runs per contest and have scored a total of 447 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston has a 50-31 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.51, Wade Miley has a 6-4 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 78 strikeouts over the 89.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 78 hits. He's allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.88 and they have given up 220 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 280 batters and walked 92 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 7.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.81. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 588 base knocks and 308 earned runs this season. They have given up 121 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 224 hitters and struck out 812 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.12 while their FIP as a staff is 4.14.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .267, good for 2nd in the league. The Astros hold a .473 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Michael Brantley comes into this matchup batting .317 with an OBP of .375. He has 96 hits this year along with 43 RBI in 303 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .502 with an OPS+ of 133. Alex Bregman is hitting .267 this season and he has an OBP of .394. He has collected 76 hits in 285 at bats while driving in 52 runs. He has an OPS+ of 147 and a slugging percentage of .540. The Astros as a unit have 735 base hits, including 150 doubles and 131 homers. Houston has walked 308 times this year and they have struck out on 561 occasions. They have had 564 men left on base and have an OPS of .816. They have scored 5.09 runs per game and totaled 412 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mariners/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mariners +120

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