Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros MLB Game Picks 6/30/2019
Sunday, June 30, 2019
Minute Maid Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Marco Gonzales vs. Gerrit Cole
Minute Maid Park is the site where Michael Brantley and the Houston Astros (51-32, 1st in AL West) will play the Seattle Mariners (37-49, 5th in AL West) on Sunday. The Astros open this matchup at -315 while the Mariners are priced at +280. The over/under opens at 9.
The Mariners have been very good for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 37-49-0 SU. The Astros are covering 61.5% of the time, going 51-32-0 straight up. The Astros have been terrible for Las Vegas oddsmakers as a favorite, going 50-27-0 SU. The Mariners are covering 37.7% of the time as the underdog, having gone 23-38-0 straight up.
Valuable Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Mariners have been a terrible Under pick for O/U wagerers, having gone 56-27-3.
The Mariners are covering 42.9% of the time as the visitor, having gone 18-24-0 straight up.
Important Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Astros are covering 69.0% of the time at Minute Maid Park, going 29-13-0 SU.
The Astros have been a great Under pick for O/U wagerers, having gone 36-44-3.
Key Seattle Mariners Injuries
6/28/2019 Kyle Seager 3B Wrist Probable for Jun 29
6/28/2019 Hunter Strickland RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/26/2019 Sam Tuivailala RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Brandon Brennan RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/23/2019 Chasen Bradford RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
6/20/2019 Mitch Haniger RF Groin Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/19/2019 Felix Hernandez SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/18/2019 Connor Sadzeck RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/17/2019 Braden Bishop CF Chest Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/16/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season
Key Houston Astros Injuries
6/28/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 13
6/27/2019 Yordan Alvarez DH Knee Probable for Jun 29
6/27/2019 Joe Smith RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/20/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/20/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Mariners have a 37-49 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Marco Gonzales has a 9-6 record with an earned run average of 4.34 and a WHIP of 1.38 this season. He has 71 strikeouts over his 101.2 innings pitched and he's given up 112 hits. He's allowed 9.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.13. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.00 and they have given up 331 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen and they've struck out 342 hitters and walked 169 batters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.22. The Mariners pitchers collectively have given up 826 base hits and 444 earned runs. They have allowed 143 home runs this season, ranking them 2nd in the league. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 282 batters and struck out 662. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.10.
As a team Seattle is hitting .245, good for 20th in the league. The Mariners hold a .450 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Domingo Santana is hitting .275 with an on-base percentage of .345. He has 90 hits this season in 327 at bats with 60 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .492 and an OPS+ of 126. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .230 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .346. He has totaled 63 hits and he has driven in 54 men in 274 at bats. His OPS+ is 132 while his slugging percentage is at .522. The Mariners have 727 hits, including 152 doubles and 146 home runs. Seattle has walked 328 times so far this season and they have struck out 836 times as a unit. They have left 600 men on base and have a team OPS of .774. They score 5.23 runs per contest and have scored a total of 450 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Houston has a 51-32 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.42, Gerrit Cole has a 7-5 record and a 1.05 WHIP. He has 151 strikeouts over the 102.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 81 hits. He's allowing 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.11. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.87 and they have given up 229 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 289 batters and walked 94 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 7.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.85. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 607 base knocks and 319 earned runs this season. They have given up 127 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 229 hitters and struck out 825 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.12 while their FIP as a staff is 4.20.
As a team, they are batting .267, good for 3rd in the league. The Astros hold a .470 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Michael Brantley comes into this matchup batting .314 with an OBP of .371. He has 98 hits this year along with 43 RBI in 312 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .494 with an OPS+ of 130. Alex Bregman is hitting .270 this season and he has an OBP of .393. He has collected 79 hits in 293 at bats while driving in 52 runs. He has an OPS+ of 147 and a slugging percentage of .536. The Astros as a unit have 753 base hits, including 151 doubles and 133 homers. Houston has walked 312 times this year and they have struck out on 574 occasions. They have had 583 men left on base and have an OPS of .812. They have scored 4.99 runs per game and totaled 414 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Mariners/Astros MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Astros -315
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