Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros MLB Game Picks 9/5/2019

Thursday, September 5, 2019

Minute Maid Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Marco Gonzales vs. Wade Miley

Mallex Smith and the Seattle Mariners (58-82, 5th in AL West) go to Minute Maid Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Houston Astros (90-50, 1st in AL West). The Mariners open this game at +211 while the Astros are priced at -255. The O/U is set at 9.5.

The Mariners have been a less than ideal choice for bettors, having gone 58-82-0 SU. Houston is covering 64.3% of the time, going 90-50-0 straight up.

Valuable Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners have been an awful Under pick for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 79-56-5.

Seattle is covering 39.1% of the time on the road, having gone 27-42-0 straight up.

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

Houston is covering 75.0% of the time at Minute Maid Park, going 51-17-0 SU.

The Astros have been a pretty good Over pick for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 61-73-6.

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Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

9/4/2019 Omar Narvaez C Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
9/1/2019 J.P SS Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/26/2019 Domingo Santana LF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/25/2019 Mitch Haniger RF Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
8/23/2019 Chasen Bradford RP Elbow Out for the season
8/7/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Hip Out for the season
8/7/2019 Connor Sadzeck RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Houston Astros Injuries

9/3/2019 George Springer CF Head Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/31/2019 Collin McHugh RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/28/2019 Carlos Correa SS Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/22/2019 Ryan Pressly RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/21/2019 Aaron Sanchez SP Pectoral Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mariners have a 58-82 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Marco Gonzales has a 14-11 record with an earned run average of 4.30 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 128 strikeouts over his 169.2 innings pitched and he's given up 184 hits. He's allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.97. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.85 and they have given up 558 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen and they've struck out 560 hitters and walked 252 batters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.05. The Mariners pitchers collectively have given up 1,300 base hits and 693 earned runs. They have allowed 233 home runs this season, ranking them 2nd in the league. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 423 batters and struck out 1,068. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 5.07.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Seattle is hitting .241, good for 26th in the league. The Mariners hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Mallex Smith is hitting .239 with an on-base percentage of .310. He has 110 hits this season in 461 at bats with 35 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .358 and an OPS+ of 82. Dee Gordon is hitting .279 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .305. He has totaled 96 hits and he has driven in 32 men in 344 at bats. His OPS+ is 82 while his slugging percentage is at .366. The Mariners have 1,147 hits, including 227 doubles and 214 home runs. Seattle has walked 510 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,357 times as a unit. They have left 942 men on base and have a team OPS of .755. They score 4.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 674 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston has a 90-50 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.06, Wade Miley has a 13-4 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 134 strikeouts over the 156 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 136 hits. He's allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.36. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.77 and they have given up 402 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 504 batters and walked 172 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.7. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,046 base knocks and 517 earned runs this season. They have given up 206 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 395 hitters and struck out 1,415 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.15 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .274, good for 2nd in the league. The Astros hold a .487 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Yuli Gurriel comes into this matchup batting .305 with an OBP of .348. He has 155 hits this year along with 97 RBI in 509 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .546 with an OPS+ of 131. Alex Bregman is hitting .297 this season and he has an OBP of .416. He has collected 144 hits in 485 at bats while driving in 96 runs. He has an OPS+ of 159 and a slugging percentage of .575. The Astros as a unit have 1,323 base hits, including 279 doubles and 234 homers. Houston has walked 542 times this year and they have struck out on 1,007 occasions. They have had 1,002 men left on base and have an OPS of .837. They have scored 5.52 runs per game and totaled 773 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mariners/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Astros (-255)

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