Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros MLB Point Spread Picks 8/3/2019

Saturday, August 3, 2019

Minute Maid Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Marco Gonzales vs. Aaron Sanchez

Minute Maid Park is the site where George Springer and the Houston Astros (70-40, 1st in AL West) will play the Seattle Mariners (47-64, 5th in AL West) on Saturday.

The Mariners have been a bad choice for wagerers, having gone 47-64-0 SU. The Astros are covering 63.6% of the time, going 70-40-0 straight up.

Valuable Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners have been a rough Under pick for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 68-38-5.

The Mariners are covering 37.2% of the time as the road team, having gone 19-32-0 straight up.

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

Houston covers 71.7% of the time at Minute Maid Park, going 38-15-0 SU.

The Astros have been a terrible Over pick for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 47-59-4.

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

7/31/2019 Tim Beckham SS Oblique Probable for Aug 2
7/28/2019 Dee Gordon 2B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/28/2019 Felix Hernandez SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
7/28/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
7/27/2019 Connor Sadzeck RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
7/27/2019 Austin Adams RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
7/26/2019 Tim Lopes 2B Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/26/2019 Brandon Brennan RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/24/2019 Mitch Haniger RF Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
7/12/2019 Braden Bishop CF Chest Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/8/2019 Dan Altavilla RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/23/2019 Chasen Bradford RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Houston Astros Injuries

8/2/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/31/2019 Ryan Pressly RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/28/2019 Josh James RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mariners have a 47-64 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Marco Gonzales has a 12-8 record with an earned run average of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.31 this season. He has 99 strikeouts over his 134.2 innings pitched and he's given up 143 hits. He's allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.95. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.98 and they have given up 426 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 434 hitters and walked 208 batters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.15. The Mariners pitchers collectively have given up 1,051 base hits and 563 earned runs. They have allowed 188 home runs this season, ranking them 2nd in the league. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 341 batters and struck out 851. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 5.12.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Seattle is hitting .245, good for 24th in the league. The Mariners hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Omar Narvaez is hitting .296 with an on-base percentage of .368. He has 91 hits this season in 307 at bats with 41 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .479 and an OPS+ of 129. Mallex Smith is hitting .236 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .303. He has totaled 85 hits and he has driven in 28 men in 360 at bats. His OPS+ is 79 while his slugging percentage is at .353. The Mariners have 934 hits, including 190 doubles and 178 home runs. Seattle has walked 400 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,082 times as a unit. They have left 759 men on base and have a team OPS of .767. They score 5.01 runs per contest and have scored a total of 556 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston has a 70-40 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.07, Aaron Sanchez has a 3-14 record and a 1.69 WHIP. He has 99 strikeouts over the 112.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 131 hits. He's allowing 10.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.03. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.85 and they have given up 317 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 397 batters and walked 133 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.77. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 813 base knocks and 414 earned runs this season. They have given up 162 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 308 hitters and struck out 1,110 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.13 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .270, good for 2nd in the league. The Astros hold a .476 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. George Springer comes into this matchup batting .289 with an OBP of .380. He has 88 hits this year along with 62 RBI in 304 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .595 with an OPS+ of 154. Michael Brantley is hitting .320 this season and he has an OBP of .380. He has collected 129 hits in 403 at bats while driving in 63 runs. He has an OPS+ of 136 and a slugging percentage of .516. The Astros as a unit have 1,019 base hits, including 211 doubles and 179 homers. Houston has walked 421 times this year and they have struck out on 792 occasions. They have had 791 men left on base and have an OPS of .822. They have scored 5.21 runs per game and totaled 573 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mariners/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mariners

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