Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros MLB Point Spread Picks 8/4/2019

Sunday, August 4, 2019

Minute Maid Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Matt Wisler vs. Justin Verlander

Minute Maid Park is the venue where Michael Brantley and the Houston Astros (71-40, 1st in AL West) will play the Seattle Mariners (47-65, 5th in AL West) on Sunday.

The Mariners have been a terrible pick for bettors, having gone 47-65-0 SU. Houston covers 64.0% of the time, going 71-40-0 straight up.

Valuable Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners have been an awful Under choice for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 69-38-5.

The Mariners cover 36.5% of the time as the road team, having gone 19-33-0 straight up.

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros cover 72.2% of the time at Minute Maid Park, going 39-15-0 SU.

The Astros have been a very good Under choice for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 48-59-4.

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

8/2/2019 Chasen Bradford RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
8/2/2019 Dee Gordon 2B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
8/2/2019 Tim Lopes 2B Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
8/2/2019 Brandon Brennan RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
8/2/2019 Braden Bishop CF Chest Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
8/2/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Hip Out for the season
7/28/2019 Felix Hernandez SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
7/27/2019 Connor Sadzeck RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
7/27/2019 Austin Adams RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
7/24/2019 Mitch Haniger RF Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
7/8/2019 Dan Altavilla RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Houston Astros Injuries

8/2/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
8/2/2019 Robinson Chirinos C Shoulder Probable for Aug 3
7/31/2019 Ryan Pressly RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/28/2019 Josh James RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mariners have a 47-65 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Matt Wisler has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 5.09 and a WHIP of 1.42 this season. He has 43 strikeouts over his 35.1 innings pitched and he's given up 40 hits. He's allowed 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.84. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.02 and they have given up 429 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 437 hitters and walked 212 batters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.2. The Mariners pitchers collectively have given up 1,063 base hits and 573 earned runs. They have allowed 194 home runs this season, ranking them 2nd in the league. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 345 batters and struck out 855. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 5.18.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Seattle is hitting .244, good for 26th in the league. The Mariners hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Mallex Smith is hitting .234 with an on-base percentage of .302. He has 85 hits this season in 364 at bats with 28 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .349 and an OPS+ of 77. Omar Narvaez is hitting .296 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .368. He has totaled 91 hits and he has driven in 41 men in 307 at bats. His OPS+ is 129 while his slugging percentage is at .479. The Mariners have 937 hits, including 190 doubles and 179 home runs. Seattle has walked 408 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,092 times as a unit. They have left 768 men on base and have a team OPS of .765. They score 4.98 runs per contest and have scored a total of 558 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston has a 71-40 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.73, Justin Verlander has a 14-4 record and a 0.81 WHIP. He has 196 strikeouts over the 151.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 92 hits. He's allowing 5.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.82 and they have given up 317 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 401 batters and walked 136 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.75. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 816 base knocks and 416 earned runs this season. They have given up 163 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 316 hitters and struck out 1,120 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.13 while their FIP as a staff is 4.13.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .271, good for 2nd in the league. The Astros hold a .480 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Michael Brantley comes into this matchup batting .316 with an OBP of .376. He has 129 hits this year along with 63 RBI in 408 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .510 with an OPS+ of 133. George Springer is hitting .298 this season and he has an OBP of .386. He has collected 92 hits in 309 at bats while driving in 62 runs. He has an OPS+ of 158 and a slugging percentage of .605. The Astros as a unit have 1,031 base hits, including 211 doubles and 185 homers. Houston has walked 425 times this year and they have struck out on 796 occasions. They have had 796 men left on base and have an OPS of .827. They have scored 5.25 runs per game and totaled 583 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mariners/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mariners

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