Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Picks 6/27/2019

Thursday, June 27, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Mike Leake vs. Chase Anderson

Miller Park is the venue where Lorenzo Cain and the Milwaukee Brewers (42-37, 2nd in NL Central) will take on the Seattle Mariners (36-47, 5th in AL West) on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Mariners priced at +174 and the Brewers are at -185. The over/under is set at 10.5.

The Mariners have been excellent for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 36-47-0 SU. The Brewers are covering 53.2% of the time, going 42-37-0 straight up. The Brewers have been a strong bet for MLB wagerers as favorites, going 25-20-0 SU. Seattle is covering 37.9% of the time as an underdog, having gone 22-36-0 straight up.

Valuable Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners have been a strong Over play for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 56-24-3.

Seattle is covering 43.6% of the time as the road team, having gone 17-22-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

Milwaukee is covering 60.0% of the time at Miller Park, going 24-16-0 SU.

The Brewers have been a decent Under play for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 36-40-3.

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

6/26/2019 Sam Tuivailala RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Brandon Brennan RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/23/2019 Chasen Bradford RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
6/20/2019 Mitch Haniger RF Groin Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/19/2019 Felix Hernandez SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/18/2019 Connor Sadzeck RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/17/2019 Braden Bishop CF Chest Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/16/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/11/2019 Hunter Strickland RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

6/25/2019 Lorenzo Cain CF Thumb Probable for Jun 26
6/18/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mariners have a 36-47 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Mike Leake has a 7-6 record with an earned run average of 4.54 and a WHIP of 1.27 this season. He has 71 strikeouts over his 101 innings pitched and he's given up 112 hits. He's allowed 10 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.18 and they have given up 318 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen and they've struck out 327 hitters and walked 163 batters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.31. The Mariners pitchers collectively have given up 803 base hits and 436 earned runs. They have allowed 138 home runs this season, ranking them 2nd in the league. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 274 batters and struck out 641. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 5.11.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Seattle is hitting .247, good for 19th in the league. The Mariners hold a .455 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .230 with an on-base percentage of .348. He has 62 hits this season in 269 at bats with 54 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .524 and an OPS+ of 133. Domingo Santana is hitting .283 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 89 hits and he has driven in 60 men in 315 at bats. His OPS+ is 130 while his slugging percentage is at .505. The Mariners have 709 hits, including 147 doubles and 145 home runs. Seattle has walked 319 times so far this season and they have struck out 804 times as a unit. They have left 578 men on base and have a team OPS of .782. They score 5.34 runs per contest and have scored a total of 443 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 42-37 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.70, Chase Anderson has a 3-2 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 55 strikeouts over the 51.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 51 hits. He's allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.77. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 277 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 358 batters and walked 138 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.71. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 699 base knocks and 375 earned runs this season. They have given up 111 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 283 hitters and struck out 746 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.43.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .250, good for 17th in the league. The Brewers hold a .450 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Lorenzo Cain comes into this matchup batting .253 with an OBP of .314. He has 76 hits this year along with 28 RBI in 300 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .357 with an OPS+ of 74. Christian Yelich is hitting .336 this season and he has an OBP of .428. He has collected 91 hits in 271 at bats while driving in 63 runs. He has an OPS+ of 192 and a slugging percentage of .731. The Brewers as a unit have 683 base hits, including 127 doubles and 136 homers. Milwaukee has walked 307 times this year and they have struck out on 755 occasions. They have had 564 men left on base and have an OPS of .781. They have scored 4.97 runs per game and totaled 393 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mariners/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mariners +174

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