Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/13/2019

Thursday, June 13, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Yusei Kikuchi vs. Michael Pineda

Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins (44-21, 1st in AL Central) play the Seattle Mariners (28-42, 5th in AL West) at Target Field on Thursday, June 13, 2019. The odds on this contest have the Mariners coming in at +170 and the Twins are at -180. The over/under is set at 10.

The Mariners have been a lousy bet for baseball wagerers, having gone 28-42-0 SU. Minnesota covers 67.7% of the time, going 44-21-0 straight up. The Twins have been excellent for baseball bettors as a favorite, going 28-11-0 SU. Seattle covers 34.6% of the time as an underdog, having gone 18-34-0 straight up.

Valuable Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners have been a very good Over choice for O/U wagerers, having gone 45-22-3.

Seattle covers 39.4% of the time as the road team, having gone 13-20-0 straight up.

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

Minnesota covers 69.0% of the time at Target Field, going 20-9-0 SU.

The Twins have been a very good Over choice for O/U wagerers, having gone 35-27-3.

Related: MLB Baseball First Five Innings Betting Strategy

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

6/11/2019 Hunter Strickland RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/11/2019 J.P SS Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/11/2019 Braden Bishop CF Chest Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/11/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/11/2019 Connor Sadzeck RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/11/2019 Felix Hernandez SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/7/2019 Mitch Haniger RF Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/5/2019 Chasen Bradford RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
5/28/2019 Sam Tuivailala RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

6/12/2019 Taylor Rogers RP Back Probable for Jun 12
6/1/2019 Adalberto Mejia RP Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 20

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mariners have a 28-42 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Yusei Kikuchi has a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 4.99 and a WHIP of 1.42 this season. He has 51 strikeouts over his 70.1 innings pitched and he's given up 80 hits. He's allowed 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.26. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.21 and they have given up 262 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 265 hitters and walked 145 batters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.31. The Mariners pitchers collectively have given up 678 base hits and 368 earned runs. They have allowed 121 home runs this season, ranking them 2nd in the league. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 233 batters and struck out 537. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 5.19.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Seattle is hitting .242, good for 22nd in the league. The Mariners hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .245 with an on-base percentage of .356. He has 57 hits this season in 233 at bats with 46 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .532 and an OPS+ of 140. Domingo Santana is hitting .273 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .340. He has totaled 71 hits and he has driven in 48 men in 260 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .485. The Mariners have 585 hits, including 116 doubles and 127 home runs. Seattle has walked 262 times so far this season and they have struck out 692 times as a unit. They have left 473 men on base and have a team OPS of .774. They score 5.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 360 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 44-21 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.34, Michael Pineda has a 4-3 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 53 strikeouts over the 64 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 69 hits. He's allowing 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.99. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.63 and they have given up 205 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 219 batters and walked 84 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.99. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 544 base knocks and 254 earned runs this season. They have given up 81 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 181 hitters and struck out 566 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.08.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .274, good for 1st in the league. The Twins hold a .516 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Jorge Polanco comes into this matchup batting .333 with an OBP of .393. He has 82 hits this year along with 34 RBI in 246 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .569 with an OPS+ of 156. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .246 this season and he has an OBP of .300. He has collected 51 hits in 207 at bats while driving in 31 runs. He has an OPS+ of 104 and a slugging percentage of .473. The Twins as a unit have 615 base hits, including 144 doubles and 127 homers. Minnesota has walked 202 times this year and they have struck out on 504 occasions. They have had 426 men left on base and have an OPS of .856. They have scored 5.97 runs per game and totaled 388 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mariners/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mariners +170

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