Seattle Mariners at Pittsburgh Pirates Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/19/2019

Thursday, September 19, 2019

PNC Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Yusei Kikuchi vs. Steven Brault

Adam Frazier and the Pittsburgh Pirates (65-86, 5th in NL Central) play the Seattle Mariners (63-88, 5th in AL West) at PNC Park on Thursday, September 19, 2019. The odds on this game have the Mariners priced at -135 and the Pirates are at +125. The over/under is set at 9.5.

The Mariners have been inconsistent for MLB wagerers, having gone 63-88-0 SU. The Pirates cover 43.0% of the time, going 65-86-0 straight up.

Valuable Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners have been an awful Under option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 85-60-6.

The Mariners cover 37.8% of the time as the away team, having gone 28-46-0 straight up.

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

Pittsburgh is covering 43.1% of the time at PNC Park, going 31-41-0 SU.

The Pirates have been an awful Under option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 87-58-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

9/17/2019 Mitch Haniger RF Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/11/2019 Jake Fraley CF Thumb Out for the season
9/10/2019 Connor Sadzeck RP Elbow Out for the season
8/23/2019 Chasen Bradford RP Elbow Out for the season
8/7/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Hip Out for the season
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

9/17/2019 Starling Marte CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/17/2019 Jacob Stallings C Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/17/2019 Chris Archer SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/16/2019 Josh Bell 1B Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/13/2019 Kyle Crick RP Finger Out for the season
9/8/2019 Jason Martin LF Shoulder Out for the season
9/4/2019 Gregory Polanco RF Shoulder Out for the season
8/29/2019 Nick Burdi RP Biceps Out for the season
8/14/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Out for the season
8/8/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Out for the season
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mariners have a 63-88 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Yusei Kikuchi has a 6-10 record with an earned run average of 5.46 and a WHIP of 1.52 this season. He has 111 strikeouts over his 151.2 innings pitched and he's given up 181 hits. He's allowed 10.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.91. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.01 and they have given up 610 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 625 hitters and walked 272 batters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.15. The Mariners pitchers collectively have given up 1,413 base hits and 764 earned runs. They have allowed 250 home runs this season, ranking them 3rd in the league. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 467 batters and struck out 1,167. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 5.05.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Seattle is hitting .240, good for 26th in the league. The Mariners hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Mallex Smith is hitting .233 with an on-base percentage of .308. He has 114 hits this season in 489 at bats with 37 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .346 and an OPS+ of 78. Dee Gordon is hitting .276 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .303. He has totaled 103 hits and he has driven in 34 men in 373 at bats. His OPS+ is 80 while his slugging percentage is at .362. The Mariners have 1,232 hits, including 239 doubles and 233 home runs. Seattle has walked 560 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,479 times as a unit. They have left 1,015 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 4.83 runs per contest and have scored a total of 729 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 65-86 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.98, Steven Brault has a 4-5 record and a 1.49 WHIP. He has 84 strikeouts over the 103 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 107 hits. He's allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.02. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.99 and they have given up 580 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 645 batters and walked 272 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.24. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,415 base knocks and 780 earned runs this season. They have given up 229 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 530 hitters and struck out 1,337 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.81.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .267, good for 5th in the league. The Pirates hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Adam Frazier comes into this matchup batting .282 with an OBP of .339. He has 145 hits this year along with 47 RBI in 515 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .421 with an OPS+ of 100. Kevin Newman is hitting .317 this season and he has an OBP of .363. He has collected 142 hits in 448 at bats while driving in 57 runs. He has an OPS+ of 114 and a slugging percentage of .451. The Pirates as a unit have 1,407 base hits, including 300 doubles and 159 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 404 times this year and they have struck out on 1,135 occasions. They have had 1,037 men left on base and have an OPS of .752. They have scored 4.74 runs per game and totaled 716 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mariners/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mariners (-135)

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