Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/29/2019

Thursday, August 29, 2019

Globe Life Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Felix Hernandez vs. Lance Lynn

Daniel Vogelbach and the Seattle Mariners (56-77, 5th in AL West) go to Globe Life Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Texas Rangers (64-69, 3rd in AL West). The Rangers open this contest at -173 while the Mariners are coming in at +163. The O/U has been set at 10.

The Mariners have been awful for baseball bettors, having gone 56-77-0 SU. Texas covers 48.1% of the time, going 64-69-0 straight up.

Valuable Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners have been a bad Under bet for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 77-51-5.

The Mariners cover 39.7% of the time on the road, having gone 25-38-0 straight up.

Important Texas Rangers Betting Trends

Texas covers 58.5% of the time at Globe Life Park, going 38-27-0 SU.

The Rangers have been a hot and cold Over bet for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 60-69-4.

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Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

8/26/2019 Domingo Santana LF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/25/2019 Mitch Haniger RF Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
8/23/2019 Brandon Brennan RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/23/2019 Chasen Bradford RP Elbow Out for the season
8/15/2019 Austin Adams RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/12/2019 Braden Bishop CF Chest Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/7/2019 Dan Altavilla RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/7/2019 Connor Sadzeck RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/7/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Hip Out for the season
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Texas Rangers Injuries

8/27/2019 Hunter Pence DH Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/26/2019 Jesse Chavez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/25/2019 Nomar Mazara RF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/23/2019 Jeffrey Springs RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/19/2019 Edinson Volquez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/19/2019 Joey Gallo CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/19/2019 Adrian Sampson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/15/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Out for the season
8/5/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
7/28/2019 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
5/13/2019 Nate Jones RP Forearm Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mariners have a 56-77 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Felix Hernandez has a 1-4 record with an earned run average of 6.09 and a WHIP of 1.44 this season. He has 38 strikeouts over his 44.1 innings pitched and he's given up 53 hits. He's allowed 10.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.87 and they have given up 537 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 531 hitters and walked 240 batters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.06. The Mariners pitchers collectively have given up 1,245 base hits and 661 earned runs. They have allowed 224 home runs this season, ranking them 2nd in the league. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 401 batters and struck out 1,012. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 5.08.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Seattle is hitting .242, good for 26th in the league. The Mariners hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Daniel Vogelbach is hitting .218 with an on-base percentage of .347. He has 85 hits this season in 390 at bats with 69 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .474 and an OPS+ of 120. Omar Narvaez is hitting .283 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 102 hits and he has driven in 48 men in 360 at bats. His OPS+ is 122 while his slugging percentage is at .467. The Mariners have 1,092 hits, including 219 doubles and 210 home runs. Seattle has walked 480 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,296 times as a unit. They have left 886 men on base and have a team OPS of .759. They score 4.87 runs per contest and have scored a total of 648 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Texas has a 64-69 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.85, Lance Lynn has a 14-9 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 197 strikeouts over the 170.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 166 hits. He's allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.97. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.73 and they have given up 505 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Rangers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 488 batters and walked 214 opposing hitters. As a team, Texas allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.95. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,241 base knocks and 649 earned runs this season. They have given up 190 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Texas as a staff has walked 467 hitters and struck out 1,139 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.71.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 20th in the league. The Rangers hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Elvis Andrus comes into this matchup batting .279 with an OBP of .316. He has 136 hits this year along with 59 RBI in 487 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .407 with an OPS+ of 82. Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .267 this season and he has an OBP of .374. He has collected 123 hits in 460 at bats while driving in 48 runs. He has an OPS+ of 112 and a slugging percentage of .465. The Rangers as a unit have 1,125 base hits, including 247 doubles and 185 homers. Texas has walked 444 times this year and they have struck out on 1,319 occasions. They have had 884 men left on base and have an OPS of .751. They have scored 4.98 runs per game and totaled 663 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mariners/Rangers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mariners (+163)

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