St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds MLB Picks & Predictions 7/21/2019
Sunday, July 21, 2019
Great American Ball Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jack Flaherty vs. Anthony DeSclafani
Joey Votto and the Cincinnati Reds (43-52, 5th in NL Central) host the St. Louis Cardinals (50-46, 2nd in NL Central) at Great American Ball Park on Sunday, July 21, 2019. The Reds open this game at +110 while the Cardinals are priced at -120. The over/under has been set at 10.5.
The Cardinals have been decent for bettors, having gone 50-46-0 SU. The Reds cover 45.3% of the time, going 43-52-0 straight up. The Cardinals have been a good bet for MLB bettors as a favorite, going 30-26-0 SU. The Reds cover 39.0% of the time as the underdog, having gone 23-36-0 straight up.
Valuable St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The Cardinals have been a hot and cold Over bet for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 42-49-5.
St. Louis covers 45.6% of the time as the road team, having gone 21-25-0 straight up.
Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Reds cover 51.1% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 23-22-0 SU.
The Reds have been an awful Over bet for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 34-58-3.
Key St. Louis Cardinals Injuries
7/19/2019 Mike Mayers RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
7/16/2019 Matt Carpenter 3B Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/14/2019 Jedd Gyorko 3B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
7/11/2019 Yadier Molina C Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/11/2019 Jordan Hicks RP Elbow Out for the season
7/3/2019 Marcell Ozuna LF Finger Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/12/2019 Brett Cecil RP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries
7/19/2019 Nick Senzel CF Hamstring Probable for Jul 20
7/19/2019 Tucker Barnhart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/19/2019 Derek Dietrich 2B Knee Probable for Jul 20
7/19/2019 Amir Garrett RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/19/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/18/2019 Kyle Farmer 2B Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/18/2019 Curt Casali C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/18/2019 David Hernandez RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Cardinals have a 50-46 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jack Flaherty has a 4-6 record with an earned run average of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.20 this season. He has 115 strikeouts over his 104 innings pitched and he's given up 90 hits. He's allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.58. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.93 and they have given up 256 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .211 against the bullpen and they've struck out 378 hitters and walked 135 batters. As a team, St. Louis allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.12. The Cardinals pitchers collectively have given up 778 base hits and 390 earned runs. They have allowed 129 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 320 batters and struck out 828. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.51.
As a team St. Louis is hitting .244, good for 22nd in the league. The Cardinals hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .251 with an on-base percentage of .338. He has 90 hits this season in 359 at bats with 44 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .429 and an OPS+ of 102. Paul DeJong is hitting .254 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .334. He has totaled 91 hits and he has driven in 44 men in 358 at bats. His OPS+ is 104 while his slugging percentage is at .444. The Cardinals have 787 hits, including 138 doubles and 118 home runs. St. Louis has walked 319 times so far this season and they have struck out 808 times as a unit. They have left 644 men on base and have a team OPS of .721. They score 4.55 runs per contest and have scored a total of 437 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Cincinnati has a 43-52 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.29, Anthony DeSclafani has a 5-4 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 94 strikeouts over the 92.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 95 hits. He's allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.18 and they have given up 289 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 349 batters and walked 132 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.93. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 756 base knocks and 368 earned runs this season. They have given up 118 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 311 hitters and struck out 913 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 25th in the league. The Reds hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .259 with an OBP of .350. He has 86 hits this year along with 25 RBI in 332 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .398 with an OPS+ of 92. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .246 this season and he has an OBP of .323. He has collected 86 hits in 350 at bats while driving in 60 runs. He has an OPS+ of 107 and a slugging percentage of .503. The Reds as a unit have 773 base hits, including 136 doubles and 129 homers. Cincinnati has walked 278 times this year and they have struck out on 831 occasions. They have had 602 men left on base and have an OPS of .730. They have scored 4.44 runs per game and totaled 422 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Cardinals/Reds MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Cardinals -120
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