St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 3/29/2019
Friday, March 29, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jack Flaherty vs. Freddy Peralta
The St. Louis Cardinals visit Miller Park on Friday, March 29, 2019 to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Jack Flaherty for the Cardinals and Freddy Peralta for the Brewers.
The opening line for this matchup has St. Louis at +106 and Milwaukee at -126. The Cardinals had a 77-78-7 over/under record and a 79-83-0 run line mark last season. The Brewers were 95-78-0 against the run line and had a 81-88-4 over/under record.
Valuable St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals were 77-78-7 against the over/under last year
The St. Louis Cardinals were 79-83-0 against the run line last season
Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers were 81-88-4 against the over/under last year
The Milwaukee Brewers were 95-78-0 against the run line last season
Key St. Louis Cardinals Injuries
03/27/19 P Brett Cecil Arm 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 P Carlos Martinez Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 3B Jedd Gyorko Calf 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 RF Justin Williams Hand 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 P Luke Gregerson Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
03/27/19 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 10-day IL (03/27)
03/25/19 P Bobby Wahl ACL is out for season
03/25/19 P Brent Suter Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Corey Knebel Elbow is out indefinitely
03/25/19 P Jeremy Jeffress Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Cardinals had a 88-74 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Jack Flaherty had a 8-9 record with an earned run average of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.11. He had 182 strikeouts over his 151 innings pitched and he gave up 108 hits. He allowed 6.4 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.86. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.38 and they gave up 560 base hits on the year. Teams hit .253 against the bullpen while striking out 522 hitters and walking 273 batters. As a team, St. Louis allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They were 12th in the league in team earned run average at 3.85. The Cardinals pitchers collectively gave up 1,354 base hits and 622 earned runs last year. They allowed 144 home runs last season, ranking them 30th in the league. St. Louis as a pitching staff walked 593 batters and struck out 1,337. They walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit was 3.97.
As a team St. Louis hit .249, good for 17th in the league. The Cardinals held a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which was good for 14th in baseball. They ranked 17th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Paul Goldschmidt hit .290 with an on-base percentage of .389 last year. He had 172 hits last season in 593 at bats with 83 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .533 and an OPS+ of 139. Matt Carpenter hit .257 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .374. He totaled 145 hits and he drove in 81 men in 564 at bats. His OPS+ was 143 while his slugging percentage was at .523. The Cardinals had 1,369 hits last season, including 248 doubles and 205 home runs. St. Louis walked 525 times last year and they struck out 1,380 times as a unit. They left 1,101 men on base and had a team OPS of .730. They scored 4.69 runs per contest and scored a total of 759 runs last year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Milwaukee had a 96-67 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 4.25, Freddy Peralta had a 6-4 record and a 1.14 WHIP. He had 96 strikeouts over the 78.1 innings he pitched. He also gave up 49 hits. He allowed 5.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.72. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.47 and they gave up 522 base hits on the year. Teams hit .226 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers struck out 708 batters and walked 243 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They were 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.75. The Brewers pitchers as a team surrendered 1,256 base knocks and 605 earned runs last season. They gave up 172 home runs last year, which ranked 23rd in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff walked 550 hitters and struck out 1,420 batters. They gave up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.24 while their FIP as a staff was 4.01.
As a team, they batted .252, good for 13th in the league. The Brewers held a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which was good for 12th in baseball. They ranked 13th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Lorenzo Cain comes into this matchup after batting .308 with an OBP of .396 last season. He had 165 hits last year along with 37 RBI in 535 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .419 with an OPS+ of 120. Christian Yelich hit .323 last season and he had an OBP of .400. He collected 184 hits in 570 at bats while driving in 109 runs. He had an OPS+ of 163 and a slugging percentage of .596. The Brewers as a unit had 1,386 base hits last season, including 251 doubles and 218 homers. Milwaukee walked 537 times last year and they struck out on 1,452 occasions. They left 1,100 men on base and had an OPS of .747. They scored 4.64 runs per game and totaled 751 runs last year.
Who will win tonight's Cardinals/Brewers MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Cardinals +106
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