Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks 5/5/2019

Sunday, May 5, 2019
Oriole Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Ryan Yarbrough vs. John Means
The Tampa Bay Rays visit Oriole Park on Sunday, May 5, 2019 to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Ryan Yarbrough for the Rays and John Means for the Orioles.
The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at -140 and Baltimore at +130. The Rays have a 13-18-1 over/under record and a 21-11-0 run line mark. The Orioles are 13-20-0 against the run line and have a 19-13-1 over/under record.
Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 13-18-1 against the over/under
The Tampa Bay Rays are 21-11-0 against the run line
Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 19-13-1 against the over/under
The Baltimore Orioles are 13-20-0 against the run line
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
05/02/19 P Hunter Wood Shoulder 10-day IL (05/02)
04/26/19 2B Joey Wendle Wrist 10-day IL (04/25)
04/21/19 CF Austin Meadows Thumb 10-day IL (04/21)
03/30/19 P Anthony Banda Elbow 10-day IL (03/28)
03/28/19 P Jose De Leon Elbow 60-day IL (03/28)
03/28/19 3B Matt Duffy Hamstring 10-day IL (03/25)
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
04/28/19 P Alex Cobb Back 10-day IL (04/27)
04/12/19 P Richard Bleier Shoulder 10-day IL (04/10)
04/10/19 P Nate Karns Forearm 10-day IL (04/09)
03/28/19 DH Mark Trumbo Groin 60-day IL (03/25)
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Rays have a 21-11 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Ryan Yarbrough has a 2-1 record with an earned run average of 8.10 and a WHIP of 1.32 this season. He has 14 strikeouts over his 16.2 innings pitched and he's given up 18 hits. He's allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.68. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.48 and they have given up 123 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the bullpen and they've struck out 151 hitters and walked 51 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.98. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 224 base hits and 96 earned runs. They have allowed 30 home runs this season, ranking them 28th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 89 batters and struck out 313. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.08 and their FIP as a unit is 3.31.
Hitting Statistics
As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .256, good for 8th in the league. The Rays hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Tommy Pham is hitting .305 with an on-base percentage of .415. He has 36 hits this season in 118 at bats with 14 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .458 and an OPS+ of 141. Brandon Lowe is hitting .311 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .368. He has totaled 33 hits and he has driven in 19 men in 106 at bats. His OPS+ is 159 while his slugging percentage is at .594. The Rays have 280 hits, including 56 doubles and 39 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 121 times so far this season and they have struck out 304 times as a unit. They have left 234 men on base and have a team OPS of .773. They score 4.66 runs per contest and have scored a total of 149 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Baltimore has a 11-22 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.81, John Means has a 3-3 record and a 1.17 WHIP. He has 25 strikeouts over the 25.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 23 hits. He's allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.48. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.19 and they have given up 156 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .281 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 135 batters and walked 66 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 10.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.92. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 323 base knocks and 190 earned runs this season. They have given up 75 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 118 hitters and struck out 253 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.53 while their FIP as a staff is 6.17.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 18th in the league. The Orioles hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .331 with an OBP of .385. He has 39 hits this year along with 14 RBI in 118 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .576 with an OPS+ of 159. Jonathan Villar is hitting .274 this season and he has an OBP of .331. He has collected 37 hits in 135 at bats while driving in 11 runs. He has an OPS+ of 103 and a slugging percentage of .415. The Orioles as a unit have 274 base hits, including 49 doubles and 35 homers. Baltimore has walked 91 times this year and they have struck out on 286 occasions. They have had 221 men left on base and have an OPS of .694. They have scored 4.12 runs per game and totaled 136 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Rays/Orioles MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles +130
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