Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks 8/22/2019
Thursday, August 22, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Ryan Yarbrough vs. Asher Wojciechowski
Austin Meadows and the Tampa Bay Rays (73-54, 2nd in AL East) head to Oriole Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Baltimore Orioles (40-86, 5th in AL East). The Rays open this contest at -200 while the Orioles are coming in at +185. The over/under has been set at 10.
The Rays have been a very good pick for bettors, having gone 73-54-0 SU. Baltimore is covering 31.8% of the time, going 40-86-0 straight up.
Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Rays have been a less than ideal Over choice for O/U bettors, having gone 59-60-8.
Tampa Bay is covering 63.5% of the time away from home, having gone 40-23-0 straight up.
Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles are covering 30.2% of the time at Oriole Park, going 19-44-0 SU.
The Orioles have been a hot and cold Under choice for O/U bettors, having gone 63-53-10.
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
8/20/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/20/2019 Joey Wendle 2B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/20/2019 Brandon Lowe 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/16/2019 Avisail Garcia RF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/14/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/14/2019 Yonny Chirinos SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/9/2019 Yandy Diaz 3B Foot Out for the season
7/29/2019 Blake Snell SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
8/12/2019 Dwight Smith LF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/1/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Rays have a 73-54 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Ryan Yarbrough has a 11-3 record with an earned run average of 3.34 and a WHIP of 0.88 this season. He has 88 strikeouts over his 105 innings pitched and he's given up 79 hits. He's allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.19. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.65 and they have given up 508 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the bullpen and they've struck out 623 hitters and walked 208 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.51. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 991 base hits and 452 earned runs. They have allowed 140 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 359 batters and struck out 1,276. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.17 and their FIP as a unit is 3.61.
As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .252, good for 15th in the league. The Rays hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Austin Meadows is hitting .276 with an on-base percentage of .347. He has 110 hits this season in 398 at bats with 62 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .518 and an OPS+ of 126. Tommy Pham is hitting .267 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .370. He has totaled 117 hits and he has driven in 54 men in 439 at bats. His OPS+ is 119 while his slugging percentage is at .456. The Rays have 1,115 hits, including 227 doubles and 167 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 434 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,176 times as a unit. They have left 913 men on base and have a team OPS of .752. They score 4.65 runs per contest and have scored a total of 590 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Baltimore has a 40-86 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.78, Asher Wojciechowski has a 2-6 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 56 strikeouts over the 49 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 41 hits. He's allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.52. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.36 and they have given up 567 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .278 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 480 batters and walked 236 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.94. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,216 base knocks and 735 earned runs this season. They have given up 257 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 450 hitters and struck out 968 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.50 while their FIP as a staff is 5.83.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .276 with an OBP of .347. He has 129 hits this year along with 73 RBI in 468 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .530 with an OPS+ of 128. Jonathan Villar is hitting .276 this season and he has an OBP of .346. He has collected 135 hits in 490 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 109 and a slugging percentage of .447. The Orioles as a unit have 1,055 base hits, including 195 doubles and 158 homers. Baltimore has walked 353 times this year and they have struck out on 1,141 occasions. They have had 822 men left on base and have an OPS of .715. They have scored 4.34 runs per game and totaled 547 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Rays/Orioles MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles (+185)
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